Stade Pierre Brisson · Analysis updated 23:26 UTC
Beauvais vs Haguenau Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.88 expected goals for Beauvais and 1.35 for Haguenau, a combined total of 2.23. That distribution gives Haguenau the largest share of the 1X2 market at 48%, with the draw at 28%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 38% for over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 15%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 48% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Haguenau win
47.8% probability
Expected goals
0.88 – 1.35
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Beauvais home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Haguenau away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Haguenau to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 48%, against 24% / 28% / 48% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.88 goals for Beauvais and 1.35 for Haguenau, a combined 2.23 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
52%
Double chance 12
72%
Double chance X2
76%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–114.6%
- 1–112.8%
- 0–010.8%
- 0–29.8%
- 1–09.5%
Recent form
Beauvais
- 2026-05-16T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Biesheim · 5-1 (W)
- 2026-05-09T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Blois · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-05-02T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Haguenau · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-04-25T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Wasquehal · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-04-18T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Chambly Thelle FC · 0-0 (D)
Haguenau
- 2026-09-12T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Epinal · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-05T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Racing Colombes 92 · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-29T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Chantilly · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-08-22T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Chambly Thelle FC · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-07-24T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Nancy · 0-5 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
National 2 - Group B table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Angoulême | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 17 |
| 2 | Bayonne | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 16 |
| 3 | Avranches | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 14 |
| 4 | Lorient II | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 12 |
| 5 | Granville | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
| 6 | Dinan Léhon | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
| 7 | Saint-Malo | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 |
| 8 | Stade Briochin | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 |
| 9 | Le Poiré sur Vie | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -1 | 9 |
| 10 | Tarbes | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 9 |
| 11 | Saint-Colomban Locminé | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 | Les Herbiers | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 | Saumur | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 7 |
| 14 | Pontivy GSI | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -5 | 4 |
| 15 | Châteaubriant | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -7 | 4 |
| 16 | Chauray | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -10 | 1 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Haguenau win, at 47.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 43% and over 2.5 goals at 38%.
A 48% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.