Ghana · Premier League · Matchweek 3015:00

1 – 2

Wednesday, 6 May 2026

DreamsLDLDL

Bechem park · Analysis updated 08:17 UTC

Bechem United vs Dreams Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.95 expected goals for Bechem United and 0.90 for Dreams, a combined total of 2.84. That distribution gives Bechem United the largest share of the 1X2 market at 62%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 54% for over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 62% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Bechem United win

61.9% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.95 – 0.90

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Bechem United home form

    7 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Dreams away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Head-to-head goals

    Both teams scored in 5 of the last 10 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Bechem United win62%
Draw21%
Dreams win17%

Double chance 1X

83%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

38%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals78%
Over 2.5 goals54%
Over 3.5 goals32%
Both teams to score51%

Correct score

  • 1–011.3%
  • 2–011.0%
  • 1–110.2%
  • 2–19.9%
  • 3–07.1%

Recent form

Bechem United

  • 2026-05-24T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Berekum Chelsea · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-05-17T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Asante Kotoko · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-05-10T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Swedru All Blacks · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-05-06T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Dreams · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-05-01T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Eleven Wonders · 3-1 (W)

Dreams

  • 2026-10-25T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Vision · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-10-18T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Port City · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-10-11T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Karela · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-10-03T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Hearts of Oak · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-09-27T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Bechem United · 0-1 (L)

Head-to-head

  • 2026-05-06T15:00:00.000Z · Bechem United 1-2 Dreams (Premier League)
  • 2025-12-07T15:00:00.000Z · Bechem United 1-2 Dreams (Premier League)
  • 2025-04-02T15:00:00.000Z · Bechem United 0-1 Dreams (Premier League)
  • 2024-09-29T15:00:00.000Z · Bechem United 1-0 Dreams (Premier League)
  • 2024-05-15T15:00:00.000Z · Bechem United 1-2 Dreams (Premier League)
  • 2023-09-24T15:00:00.000Z · Bechem United 1-0 Dreams (Premier League)
  • 2023-03-29T15:00:00.000Z · Bechem United 1-0 Dreams (Premier League)
  • 2022-11-16T15:00:00.000Z · Bechem United 2-1 Dreams (Premier League)
  • 2022-03-30T15:00:00.000Z · Bechem United 0-0 Dreams (Premier League)
  • 2021-11-28T15:00:00.000Z · Bechem United 3-1 Dreams (Premier League)

Premier League table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Medeama8521717
2Hearts of Oak8521717
3Samartex8431415
4Port City8422414
5Swedru All Blacks8422314
6Bechem United8413213
7Aduana Stars8413213
8Basake Holy Stars8404-312
9Asante Kotoko8332012
10Berekum Chelsea8323111
11Ashanti Gold8323111
12Bibiani Gold Stars8314-110
13Karela8305-39
14Vision823309
15Heart of Lions8224-48
16Debibi United8215-57
17Young Apostles8206-86
18Dreams8035-73

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Bechem United win, at 61.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 51% and over 2.5 goals at 54%.

A 62% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.