Ghana · Premier League · Matchweek 615:00

4 – 2

Sunday, 11 October 2026

VisionWLLDD

Bechem park · Analysis updated 09:00 UTC

Bechem United vs Vision Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.65 expected goals for Bechem United and 1.19 for Vision, a combined total of 2.83. That distribution gives Bechem United the largest share of the 1X2 market at 48%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 54% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 48% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Bechem United win

48.1% probability

Low confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.65 – 1.19

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Bechem United home form

    7 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Vision away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Bechem United to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 48%, against 48% / 24% / 28% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.65 goals for Bechem United and 1.19 for Vision, a combined 2.83 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Bechem United win48%
Draw24%
Vision win28%

Double chance 1X

73%

Double chance 12

76%

Double chance X2

52%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals77%
Over 2.5 goals54%
Over 3.5 goals32%
Both teams to score56%

Correct score

  • 1–111.5%
  • 1–09.7%
  • 2–19.5%
  • 2–08.0%
  • 0–17.0%

Recent form

Bechem United

  • 2026-05-24T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Berekum Chelsea · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-05-17T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Asante Kotoko · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-05-10T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Swedru All Blacks · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-05-06T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Dreams · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-05-01T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Eleven Wonders · 3-1 (W)

Vision

  • 2026-10-25T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Dreams · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-10-17T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Hearts of Oak · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-10-11T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Bechem United · 2-4 (L)
  • 2026-10-03T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Bibiani Gold Stars · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-09-27T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Berekum Chelsea · 1-1 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Premier League table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Medeama8521717
2Hearts of Oak8521717
3Samartex8431415
4Port City8422414
5Swedru All Blacks8422314
6Bechem United8413213
7Aduana Stars8413213
8Basake Holy Stars8404-312
9Asante Kotoko8332012
10Berekum Chelsea8323111
11Ashanti Gold8323111
12Bibiani Gold Stars8314-110
13Karela8305-39
14Vision823309
15Heart of Lions8224-48
16Debibi United8215-57
17Young Apostles8206-86
18Dreams8035-73

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Bechem United win, at 48.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 54%.

A 48% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.