Ghana · Premier League · Matchweek 1415:30

15:30 UTC

Sunday, 6 December 2026

Bechem park · Analysis updated 12:28 UTC

Bechem United vs Young Apostles Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.85 expected goals for Bechem United and 0.75 for Young Apostles, a combined total of 2.60. That distribution gives Bechem United the largest share of the 1X2 market at 63%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 48% for over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 14%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 63% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Bechem United win

63.3% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.85 – 0.75

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Bechem United home form

    7 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Young Apostles away threat

    Scored in 2 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Bechem United to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 63%, against 63% / 22% / 15% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.85 goals for Bechem United and 0.75 for Young Apostles, a combined 2.60 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Bechem United win63%
Draw22%
Young Apostles win15%

Double chance 1X

85%

Double chance 12

78%

Double chance X2

37%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals73%
Over 2.5 goals48%
Over 3.5 goals26%
Both teams to score45%

Correct score

  • 1–013.7%
  • 2–012.7%
  • 1–110.3%
  • 2–19.5%
  • 3–07.8%

Recent form

Bechem United

  • 2026-05-24T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Berekum Chelsea · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-05-17T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Asante Kotoko · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-05-10T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Swedru All Blacks · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-05-06T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Dreams · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-05-01T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Eleven Wonders · 3-1 (W)

Young Apostles

  • 2026-10-25T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Swedru All Blacks · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-10-18T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Asante Kotoko · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-10-11T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Aduana Stars · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-04T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Samartex · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-09-27T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Heart of Lions · 1-2 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Premier League table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Medeama8521717
2Hearts of Oak8521717
3Samartex8431415
4Port City8422414
5Swedru All Blacks8422314
6Bechem United8413213
7Aduana Stars8413213
8Basake Holy Stars8404-312
9Asante Kotoko8332012
10Berekum Chelsea8323111
11Ashanti Gold8323111
12Bibiani Gold Stars8314-110
13Karela8305-39
14Vision823309
15Heart of Lions8224-48
16Debibi United8215-57
17Young Apostles8206-86
18Dreams8035-73

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Bechem United win, at 63.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 45% and over 2.5 goals at 48%.

A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.