· Analysis updated 16:26 UTC
Beerschot VA vs Zulte Waregem Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.90 expected goals for Beerschot VA and 1.92 for Zulte Waregem, a combined total of 3.82. That distribution gives Zulte Waregem the largest share of the 1X2 market at 40%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 74% for over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 40% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Draw/Away
61.1% probability
Expected goals
1.90 – 1.92
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Beerschot VA home form
10 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Zulte Waregem away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Zulte Waregem to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 40%, against 39% / 21% / 40% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.90 goals for Beerschot VA and 1.92 for Zulte Waregem, a combined 3.82 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
60%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
61%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–18.0%
- 1–27.7%
- 2–17.6%
- 2–27.3%
- 1–34.9%
Recent form
Beerschot VA
- 2026-09-27T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Crossing Schaerbeek · 5-3 (W)
- 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Sporting Hasselt · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-11T18:00:00.000Z · H vs K. Lierse S.K. · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-04T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Patro Eisden · 4-2 (W)
- 2026-08-29T14:00:00.000Z · A vs RSC Anderlecht II · 1-0 (W)
Zulte Waregem
- 2026-10-02T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Lille · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-19T18:45:00.000Z · A vs Anderlecht · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-13T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Charleroi · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-06T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Kortrijk · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-30T17:15:00.000Z · A vs KVC Westerlo · 2-2 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 61.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 73% and over 2.5 goals at 74%.
A 61% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.