· Analysis updated 06:33 UTC
Bekescsaba 1912 vs Szeged-Csanád II Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.78 expected goals for Bekescsaba 1912 and 1.60 for Szeged-Csanád II, a combined total of 3.38. That distribution gives Bekescsaba 1912 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 42%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 66% for over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 42% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
65.0% probability
Expected goals
1.78 – 1.60
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Bekescsaba 1912 home form
4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Szeged-Csanád II away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Bekescsaba 1912 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 42%, against 42% / 23% / 35% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.78 goals for Bekescsaba 1912 and 1.60 for Szeged-Csanád II, a combined 3.38 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
65%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
58%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–19.7%
- 2–18.6%
- 1–27.8%
- 2–26.9%
- 1–06.1%
Recent form
Bekescsaba 1912
- 2026-10-03T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Sándorfalva · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-27T14:00:00.000Z · A vs BKV Előre · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Hódmezővásárhely · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Csepel · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-08-29T15:00:00.000Z · H vs ESMTK · 3-3 (D)
Szeged-Csanád II
- 2026-10-04T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Hódmezővásárhely · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Csepel · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-20T14:00:00.000Z · H vs ESMTK · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · A vs III. Kerületi TUE · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-30T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Gyulai Termál · 0-4 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2024-05-12T15:00:00.000Z · Bekescsaba 1912 1-0 Szeged-Csanád II (NB III - Southeast)
- 2023-10-29T10:00:00.000Z · Bekescsaba 1912 2-1 Szeged-Csanád II (NB III - Southeast)
NB III - Southeast table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gyulai Termál | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 33 | 36 |
| 2 | ESMTK | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 27 |
| 3 | III. Kerületi TUE | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 26 |
| 4 | Szeged-Csanád II | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 20 |
| 5 | Újpest II | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 19 |
| 6 | Vasas II | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 18 |
| 7 | Csepel | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 17 |
| 8 | Bekescsaba 1912 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 14 |
| 9 | Monori Se | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | Szolnoki MAV FC | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -2 | 14 |
| 11 | Dabas | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -12 | 14 |
| 12 | Honvéd II | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -2 | 11 |
| 13 | Sándorfalva | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -22 | 10 |
| 14 | Hódmezővásárhely | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -12 | 8 |
| 15 | BKV Előre | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -28 | 8 |
| 16 | Szegedi VSE | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | -21 | 6 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 65.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 66% and over 2.5 goals at 66%.
A 65% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.