Estadio Julio Cesar Villagra · Referee L. Lobo Medina · Analysis updated 14:00 UTC
Belgrano Cordoba vs Huracan Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.98 expected goals for Belgrano Cordoba and 0.65 for Huracan, a combined total of 1.63. That distribution gives Belgrano Cordoba the largest share of the 1X2 market at 42%, with the draw at 34%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 22% for over 2.5 goals and 30% for both teams to score, with 0–0 the single most likely scoreline at 20%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 42% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
76.3% probability
Expected goals
0.98 – 0.65
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Belgrano Cordoba home form
7 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Huracan away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 3 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
76%
Double chance 12
66%
Double chance X2
58%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–019.7%
- 1–019.2%
- 0–112.8%
- 1–112.5%
- 2–09.4%
Recent form
Belgrano Cordoba
- 2026-10-04T20:00:00.000Z · A vs Talleres Cordoba · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-20T22:15:00.000Z · H vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-13T17:45:00.000Z · A vs Sarmiento Junin · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-04T22:00:00.000Z · H vs Huracan · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-30T00:30:00.000Z · A vs Atletico Tucuman · 0-0 (D)
Huracan
- 2026-10-10T18:45:00.000Z · A vs Barracas Central · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-10-04T17:45:00.000Z · H vs Aldosivi · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-19T22:00:00.000Z · A vs River Plate · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-14T00:30:00.000Z · H vs Racing Club · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-04T22:00:00.000Z · A vs Belgrano Cordoba · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
- 2026-03-03T22:15:00.000Z · Belgrano Cordoba 1-3 Huracan (Liga Profesional Argentina)
- 2025-07-12T21:30:00.000Z · Belgrano Cordoba 3-0 Huracan (Liga Profesional Argentina)
- 2025-01-25T00:00:00.000Z · Belgrano Cordoba 1-1 Huracan (Liga Profesional Argentina)
- 2024-08-18T23:30:00.000Z · Belgrano Cordoba 0-1 Huracan (Liga Profesional Argentina)
- 2023-04-12T22:00:00.000Z · Belgrano Cordoba 2-0 Huracan (Liga Profesional Argentina)
- 2018-09-30T20:45:00.000Z · Belgrano Cordoba 0-1 Huracan (Liga Profesional Argentina)
- 2017-12-09T00:30:00.000Z · Belgrano Cordoba 1-0 Huracan (Liga Profesional Argentina)
- 2017-06-26T23:15:00.000Z · Belgrano Cordoba 0-0 Huracan (Liga Profesional Argentina)
- 2016-08-13T00:10:00.000Z · Belgrano Cordoba 0-0 Huracan (Copa Argentina)
- 2015-11-09T18:30:00.000Z · Belgrano Cordoba 1-1 Huracan (Liga Profesional Argentina)
Liga Profesional Argentina table
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 76.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 30% and over 2.5 goals at 22%.
A 76% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.