· Analysis updated 12:03 UTC
Beltinci vs Al-Faisaly FC Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.42 expected goals for Beltinci and 1.03 for Al-Faisaly FC, a combined total of 3.45. That distribution gives Beltinci the largest share of the 1X2 market at 68%, with the draw at 18%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 67% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 68% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Beltinci win
68.0% probability
Expected goals
2.42 – 1.03
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Beltinci home form
15 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Beltinci to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 68%, against 68% / 18% / 14% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.42 goals for Beltinci and 1.03 for Al-Faisaly FC, a combined 3.45 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 67% and both teams to score at 58%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
86%
Double chance 12
82%
Double chance X2
32%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–19.6%
- 2–09.3%
- 1–17.9%
- 3–17.7%
- 1–07.7%
Recent form
Beltinci
- 2026-10-25T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Tromejnik Montpreis · 5-0 (W)
- 2026-10-18T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Dren Vrhnika · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Bilje · 5-1 (W)
- 2026-10-04T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Ilirija · 4-2 (W)
- 2026-09-27T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Krka · 3-0 (W)
Al-Faisaly FC
- 2026-10-23T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Al-Nassr · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-10-19T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Al Shabab · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-10-15T13:40:00.000Z · H vs Al Kholood · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-11T15:45:00.000Z · H vs Al-Ittihad FC · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-08T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Al-Ettifaq · 0-0 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Beltinci win, at 68.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 67%.
A 68% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.