Benátky nad Jizerou vs Neratovice-Byškovice Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 3.00 expected goals for Benátky nad Jizerou and 4.50 for Neratovice-Byškovice, a combined total of 7.50. That distribution gives Neratovice-Byškovice the largest share of the 1X2 market at 63%, with the draw at 14%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 94% for over 2.5 goals and 90% for both teams to score, with 2–4 the single most likely scoreline at 4%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 63% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Neratovice-Byškovice win

62.9% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

3.00 – 4.50

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Benátky nad Jizerou home form
6 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Neratovice-Byškovice away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Neratovice-Byškovice to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 63%, against 24% / 14% / 63% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 3.00 goals for Benátky nad Jizerou and 4.50 for Neratovice-Byškovice, a combined 7.50 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Benátky nad Jizerou win24%

Draw14%

Neratovice-Byškovice win63%

Double chance 1X

37%

Double chance 12

87%

Double chance X2

76%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals95%

Over 2.5 goals94%

Over 3.5 goals90%

Both teams to score90%

Correct score

2–44.3%
3–44.3%
2–53.8%
3–53.8%
2–33.8%

Recent form

Benátky nad Jizerou

2026-10-24T08:30:00.000Z · A vs Velké Hamry · 3-3 (D)
2026-10-18T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Neratovice-Byškovice · 0-0 (D)
2026-10-14T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Baník Souš · 1-1 (D)
2026-10-10T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Horní Ředice · 2-0 (W)
2026-10-04T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Chrudim · 3-3 (D)

Neratovice-Byškovice

2026-10-24T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Chrudim · 6-1 (W)
2026-10-18T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Benátky nad Jizerou · 0-0 (D)
2026-10-10T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Pardubice II · 3-0 (W)
2026-10-04T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Teplice II · 2-0 (W)
2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Čáslav · 0-2 (L)

Head-to-head

2026-10-18T13:30:00.000Z · Benátky nad Jizerou 0-0 Neratovice-Byškovice (3. liga - CFL B)
2026-08-26T15:30:00.000Z · Benátky nad Jizerou 1-1 Neratovice-Byškovice (Cup)
2026-06-06T08:15:00.000Z · Benátky nad Jizerou 4-1 Neratovice-Byškovice (3. liga - CFL B)
2025-11-09T13:00:00.000Z · Benátky nad Jizerou 2-0 Neratovice-Byškovice (3. liga - CFL B)

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Neratovice-Byškovice win, at 62.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–4.

It puts both teams scoring at 90% and over 2.5 goals at 94%.

A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.