Football Pitch Benesov · Analysis updated 14:22 UTC
Benešov vs Admira Praha Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.63 expected goals for Benešov and 1.72 for Admira Praha, a combined total of 3.35. That distribution gives Admira Praha the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 65% for over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Draw/Away
63.3% probability
Expected goals
1.63 – 1.72
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Benešov home form
4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Admira Praha away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Admira Praha to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 41%, against 37% / 23% / 41% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.63 goals for Benešov and 1.72 for Admira Praha, a combined 3.35 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
60%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
63%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–19.8%
- 1–28.5%
- 2–18.0%
- 2–26.9%
- 0–16.0%
Recent form
Benešov
- 2026-10-10T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Admira Praha · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-10-03T14:00:00.000Z · A vs České Budějovice · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-26T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Slavia III · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-19T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Motorlet Praha · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-12T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Králův Dvůr · 2-4 (L)
Admira Praha
- 2026-10-10T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Benešov · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-10-04T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Jiskra Domažlice · 4-4 (D)
- 2026-09-26T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Aritma Praha · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-20T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Písek · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-13T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Dukla Praha II · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
3. liga - CFL A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | České Budějovice | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 22 |
| 2 | Králův Dvůr | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 22 |
| 3 | Jiskra Domažlice | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 21 |
| 4 | Motorlet Praha | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 19 |
| 5 | Viktoria Plzeň II | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 17 |
| 6 | Sparta Praha II | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 15 |
| 7 | Loko Vltavín | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 15 |
| 8 | Slavia III | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 14 |
| 9 | Písek | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -3 | 11 |
| 10 | Admira Praha | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -4 | 11 |
| 11 | Příbram II | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -3 | 10 |
| 12 | Bohemians 1905 II | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -9 | 10 |
| 13 | Aritma Praha | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -14 | 8 |
| 14 | Dukla Praha II | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -7 | 7 |
| 15 | Benešov | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -9 | 7 |
| 16 | Povltava FA | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -18 | 2 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 63.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 66% and over 2.5 goals at 65%.
A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.