· Analysis updated 02:14 UTC
Benešov vs Dukla Praha II Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.23 expected goals for Benešov and 1.53 for Dukla Praha II, a combined total of 2.75. That distribution gives Dukla Praha II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 52% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Draw/Away
69.4% probability
Expected goals
1.23 – 1.53
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Benešov home form
4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Dukla Praha II away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Dukla Praha II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 31% / 25% / 44% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.23 goals for Benešov and 1.53 for Dukla Praha II, a combined 2.75 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
56%
Double chance 12
75%
Double chance X2
69%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–111.9%
- 0–19.7%
- 1–29.1%
- 1–07.8%
- 0–27.4%
Recent form
Benešov
- 2026-10-24T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Bohemians 1905 II · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-10-10T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Admira Praha · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-10-03T14:00:00.000Z · A vs České Budějovice · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-26T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Slavia III · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-19T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Motorlet Praha · 1-1 (D)
Dukla Praha II
- 2026-09-27T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Bohemians 1905 II · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Příbram II · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-13T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Admira Praha · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-09T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Motorlet Praha · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-04T15:00:00.000Z · A vs České Budějovice · 2-2 (D)
Head-to-head
No previous meetings were found between these teams. The prediction is still calculated from current form, home and away performance, goals data, team strength and competition statistics.
3. liga - CFL A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | České Budějovice | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 26 |
| 2 | Králův Dvůr | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 26 |
| 3 | Viktoria Plzeň II | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 23 |
| 4 | Motorlet Praha | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 23 |
| 5 | Jiskra Domažlice | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 21 |
| 6 | Loko Vltavín | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 18 |
| 7 | Sparta Praha II | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 16 |
| 8 | Slavia III | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 14 |
| 9 | Admira Praha | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 14 |
| 10 | Písek | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -6 | 14 |
| 11 | Příbram II | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -1 | 13 |
| 12 | Bohemians 1905 II | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -5 | 13 |
| 13 | Dukla Praha II | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -3 | 11 |
| 14 | Benešov | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -8 | 10 |
| 15 | Aritma Praha | 12 | 1 | 6 | 5 | -17 | 9 |
| 16 | Povltava FA | 12 | 0 | 2 | 10 | -21 | 2 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 69.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 52%.
A 69% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.