· Analysis updated 15:01 UTC
Benfica B vs Torreense Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.58 expected goals for Benfica B and 0.95 for Torreense, a combined total of 2.53. That distribution gives Benfica B the largest share of the 1X2 market at 52%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 46% for over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 52% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Benfica B win
52.0% probability
Expected goals
1.58 – 0.95
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Benfica B home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Torreense away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 7 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 5 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
77%
Double chance 12
75%
Double chance X2
48%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–012.6%
- 1–112.0%
- 2–09.9%
- 2–19.4%
- 0–08.0%
Recent form
Benfica B
- 2026-09-11T19:45:00.000Z · A vs Academica · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-05T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Torreense · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-08-30T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Amarante · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-21T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Portimonense · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-15T13:00:00.000Z · A vs União de Leiria · 2-1 (W)
Torreense
- 2026-09-17T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Lillestrom · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-11T17:45:00.000Z · H vs Leixoes · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-05T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Benfica B · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-29T19:30:00.000Z · H vs Vizela · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-08-22T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Lusitânia Lourosa · 2-2 (D)
Head-to-head
- 2026-09-05T14:30:00.000Z · Benfica B 0-2 Torreense (Segunda Liga)
- 2026-07-18T09:30:00.000Z · Benfica B 1-1 Torreense (Friendlies Clubs)
- 2026-02-21T11:00:00.000Z · Benfica B 0-1 Torreense (Segunda Liga)
- 2025-09-27T10:00:00.000Z · Benfica B 3-3 Torreense (Segunda Liga)
- 2025-01-27T18:00:00.000Z · Benfica B 1-1 Torreense (Segunda Liga)
- 2024-08-18T17:00:00.000Z · Benfica B 2-0 Torreense (Segunda Liga)
- 2024-02-17T14:00:00.000Z · Benfica B 1-3 Torreense (Segunda Liga)
- 2023-09-17T17:00:00.000Z · Benfica B 0-2 Torreense (Segunda Liga)
- 2023-02-19T15:30:00.000Z · Benfica B 1-2 Torreense (Segunda Liga)
- 2022-08-28T13:00:00.000Z · Benfica B 0-0 Torreense (Segunda Liga)
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Benfica B win, at 52.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 49% and over 2.5 goals at 46%.
A 52% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.