· Analysis updated 02:57 UTC
Benfica U19 vs Rio Ave U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.98 expected goals for Benfica U19 and 0.69 for Rio Ave U19, a combined total of 1.67. That distribution gives Benfica U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 34%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 24% for over 2.5 goals and 31% for both teams to score, with 0–0 the single most likely scoreline at 19%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws roughly 59% of the time.
Model pick
Benfica U19 or Draw
74.9% probability
Expected goals
0.98 – 0.69
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
75%
Double chance 12
66%
Double chance X2
59%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–018.8%
- 1–018.4%
- 0–113.0%
- 1–112.7%
- 2–09.0%
Why the model likes this
Benfica U19 home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Benfica U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 41%, against 41% / 34% / 25% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.98 goals for Benfica U19 and 0.69 for Rio Ave U19, a combined 1.67 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 24% and both teams to score at 31%, with 0–0 the single most likely scoreline at 19%.
Recent form
Benfica U19
- 2026-08-15T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Oriental U19 · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-05-16T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Famalicão U19 · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-05-10T15:00:00.000Z · H vs União Leiria U19 · 5-2 (W)
- 2026-05-06T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Rio Ave U19 · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-05-02T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Gil Vicente U19 · 6-0 (W)
Rio Ave U19
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Júniores U19 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vitoria Guimaraes U19 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Sporting Braga U19 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Porto U19 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Gil Vicente U19 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Feirense U19 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Rio Ave U19 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 7 | Academico Viseu U19 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 8 | Moreirense U19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 9 | Vizela U19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 10 | Famalicão U19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 1 | Sporting CP U19 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
| 2 | SC Farense U19 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Oriental U19 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Casa Pia U19 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Mafra U19 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | União Leiria U19 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | Benfica U19 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Torreense U19 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 9 | Alverca U19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 10 | Santa Clara U19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.