Benkovski Isperih vs Volov Shumen Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.55 expected goals for Benkovski Isperih and 1.70 for Volov Shumen, a combined total of 3.25. That distribution gives Volov Shumen the largest share of the 1X2 market at 42%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 63% for over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 42% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Draw/Away

64.8% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.55 – 1.70

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Benkovski Isperih home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Volov Shumen away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Volov Shumen to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 42%, against 35% / 23% / 42% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.55 goals for Benkovski Isperih and 1.70 for Volov Shumen, a combined 3.25 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Benkovski Isperih win35%

Draw23%

Volov Shumen win42%

Double chance 1X

58%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

65%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals84%

Over 2.5 goals63%

Over 3.5 goals41%

Both teams to score64%

Correct score

1–110.2%
1–28.7%
2–17.9%
2–26.7%
0–16.6%

Recent form

Benkovski Isperih

2026-10-04T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Akademik Svishtov · 0-3 (L)
2026-09-26T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Septemvri Dragoevo · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-20T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Ustrem Donchevo · 3-2 (W)
2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Fratria II · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-06T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Dorostol · 5-1 (W)

Volov Shumen

2026-10-04T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas · 0-2 (L)
2026-09-26T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Ludogorets III · 1-2 (L)
2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Septemvri Dragoevo · 4-1 (W)
2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Ustrem Donchevo · 4-2 (W)
2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Fratria II · 9-0 (W)

Head-to-head

2026-05-17T14:00:00.000Z · Benkovski Isperih 0-2 Volov Shumen (Third League - Northeast)
2025-12-03T12:00:00.000Z · Benkovski Isperih 2-2 Volov Shumen (Third League - Northeast)

Third League - Northeast table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ludogorets III	11	9	1	1	23	28
2	Volov Shumen	11	7	2	2	19	23
3	Chernomorets Balchik	10	7	2	1	10	23
4	Chernolomets 1919	11	6	3	2	15	21
5	Svetkavitsa 14	11	6	1	4	5	19
6	Botev Novi Pazar	9	4	3	2	5	15
7	Septemvri Tervel	9	4	3	2	3	15
8	Cherno more II	10	4	2	4	5	14
9	Benkovski Isperih	9	4	2	3	3	14
10	Septemvri Dragoevo	11	4	2	5	-5	14
11	Olympic Varna	10	4	0	6	-6	12
12	Devnya 2005	10	3	1	6	-10	10
13	Riltzi	10	3	1	6	-12	10
14	Aksakovo	8	2	2	4	-5	8
15	Ustrem Donchevo	10	2	1	7	-11	7
16	Fratria II	10	2	1	7	-20	7
17	Dorostol	10	0	1	9	-19	1

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 64.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 64% and over 2.5 goals at 63%.

A 65% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.