Berane City Stadium · Analysis updated 16:16 UTC
Berane vs Jedinstvo Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.11 expected goals for Berane and 1.95 for Jedinstvo, a combined total of 3.06. That distribution gives Jedinstvo the largest share of the 1X2 market at 57%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 59% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 57% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Jedinstvo win
56.8% probability
Expected goals
1.11 – 1.95
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Berane home form
1 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Jedinstvo away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Jedinstvo to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 57%, against 21% / 22% / 57% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.11 goals for Berane and 1.95 for Jedinstvo, a combined 3.06 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
43%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
79%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.2%
- 1–29.9%
- 0–19.1%
- 0–28.9%
- 1–36.4%
Recent form
Berane
- 2026-10-18T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Lovćen · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-10-15T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Jedinstvo · 0-5 (L)
- 2026-10-11T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Iskra · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Jedinstvo · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-30T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Rudar · 0-4 (L)
Jedinstvo
- 2026-10-09T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Lovćen · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Berane · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-30T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Mladost Lješkopolje · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Mogren · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-21T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Zeta · 3-2 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Cup table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jezero | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 |
| 2 | Mladost DG | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 |
| 3 | Mornar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| 4 | Arsenal Tivat | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 5 | Bokelj | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 | Buducnost Podgorica | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | Grbalj | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Dečić | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Sutjeska | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Otrant-Olympic | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 11 | Lovćen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 12 | Iskra | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Jedinstvo win, at 56.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 59%.
A 57% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.