· Analysis updated 14:05 UTC
Berane vs Kom Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.85 expected goals for Berane and 1.89 for Kom, a combined total of 2.74. That distribution gives Kom the largest share of the 1X2 market at 62%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 52% for over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 62% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Kom win
61.9% probability
Expected goals
0.85 – 1.89
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Berane home form
1 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Kom away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Kom to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 62%, against 16% / 22% / 62% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.85 goals for Berane and 1.89 for Kom, a combined 2.74 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
38%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
84%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–112.3%
- 0–211.6%
- 1–110.4%
- 1–29.8%
- 0–37.3%
Recent form
Berane
- 2026-10-18T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Lovćen · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-10-15T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Jedinstvo · 0-5 (L)
- 2026-10-11T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Iskra · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Jedinstvo · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-30T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Rudar · 0-4 (L)
Kom
- 2026-10-18T11:30:00.000Z · A vs Jedinstvo · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-10-15T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Petrovac · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-10-11T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Mladost Lješkopolje · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Mogren · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-30T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Zeta · 3-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Second League table
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Kom win, at 61.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 49% and over 2.5 goals at 52%.
A 62% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.