Montenegro · Second League · Matchweek 417:00
BeraneLLLLL

0 – 2

Sunday, 6 September 2026

ZetaDLWLW

· Analysis updated 09:52 UTC

Berane vs Zeta Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.82 expected goals for Berane and 1.94 for Zeta, a combined total of 2.76. That distribution gives Zeta the largest share of the 1X2 market at 64%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 52% for over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 64% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Zeta win

63.7% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

0.82 – 1.94

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Berane home form

    1 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Zeta away threat

    Scored in 6 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Zeta to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 64%, against 15% / 21% / 64% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 0.82 goals for Berane and 1.94 for Zeta, a combined 2.76 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Berane win15%
Draw21%
Zeta win64%

Double chance 1X

36%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

85%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals76%
Over 2.5 goals52%
Over 3.5 goals30%
Both teams to score48%

Correct score

  • 0–112.3%
  • 0–211.9%
  • 1–110.1%
  • 1–29.8%
  • 0–37.7%

Recent form

Berane

  • 2026-10-18T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Lovćen · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-10-15T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Jedinstvo · 0-5 (L)
  • 2026-10-11T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Iskra · 1-5 (L)
  • 2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Jedinstvo · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-30T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Rudar · 0-4 (L)

Zeta

  • 2026-09-21T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Jedinstvo · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-17T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Mladost Lješkopolje · 3-3 (D)
  • 2026-09-12T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Mogren · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-09-06T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Berane · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-30T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Iskra · 1-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Second League table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Jedinstvo137241023
2Mladost Lješkopolje12651723
3Zeta12543319
4Lovćen12615119
5Kom11533418
6Iskra12525117
7Rudar12444016
8Grbalj12444-416
9Mogren12255-111
10Berane120210-212

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Zeta win, at 63.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 48% and over 2.5 goals at 52%.

A 64% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.