Tissot Arena · Analysis updated 13:14 UTC
Besa Biel/Bienne vs Münsingen Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.90 expected goals for Besa Biel/Bienne and 1.72 for Münsingen, a combined total of 3.62. That distribution gives Besa Biel/Bienne the largest share of the 1X2 market at 43%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 70% for over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 43% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
64.7% probability
Expected goals
1.90 – 1.72
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Besa Biel/Bienne home form
3 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Münsingen away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Besa Biel/Bienne to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 43%, against 43% / 22% / 35% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.90 goals for Besa Biel/Bienne and 1.72 for Münsingen, a combined 3.62 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
65%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
57%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–18.7%
- 2–18.3%
- 1–27.5%
- 2–27.1%
- 3–15.3%
Recent form
Besa Biel/Bienne
- 2026-07-16T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Biel-Bienne · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-07-13T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Breitenrain · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-05-30T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Münsingen · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-05-23T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Langenthal · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-05-17T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Schötz · 1-4 (L)
Münsingen
- 2026-09-27T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Muttenz · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-20T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Bassecourt · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-13T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Schötz · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Thun II · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-08-30T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Black Stars · 0-0 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
1. Liga Classic - Group 2 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Langenthal | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 23 |
| 2 | Schötz | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 20 |
| 3 | Courtételle | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 19 |
| 4 | Concordia Basel | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 17 |
| 5 | Delémont | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 17 |
| 6 | Muttenz | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 17 |
| 7 | Solothurn | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 16 |
| 8 | Grasshopper II | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | -1 | 15 |
| 9 | Buochs | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 13 |
| 10 | Muri-Gümligen | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 13 |
| 11 | Thun II | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 12 |
| 12 | FC Wohlen | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 12 |
| 13 | Bassecourt | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -9 | 10 |
| 14 | Zug | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -10 | 10 |
| 15 | Black Stars | 10 | 1 | 6 | 3 | -3 | 9 |
| 16 | Münsingen | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -18 | 2 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 64.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 70% and over 2.5 goals at 70%.
A 65% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.