Betis C vs Egabrense Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.53 expected goals for Betis C and 1.56 for Egabrense, a combined total of 4.09. That distribution gives Betis C the largest share of the 1X2 market at 59%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 77% for over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 59% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Betis C win

58.7% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

2.53 – 1.56

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Most likely outcome
The model rates Betis C to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 59%, against 59% / 19% / 23% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.53 goals for Betis C and 1.56 for Egabrense, a combined 4.09 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 77% and both teams to score at 73%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%.
Model confidence
The headline pick is rated 59% with moderate confidence, from a data-quality score of 42/100 while season data is still limited.

Match result (1X2)

Betis C win59%

Draw19%

Egabrense win23%

Double chance 1X

77%

Double chance 12

82%

Double chance X2

41%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals91%

Over 2.5 goals77%

Over 3.5 goals58%

Both teams to score73%

Correct score

2–18.4%
3–17.0%
1–16.6%
2–26.5%
3–25.5%

Recent form

Betis C

Egabrense

2026-09-12T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Ceuta II · 3-1 (W)
2026-09-06T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Córdoba II · 4-2 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Utrera	6	5	0	1	3	15
2	Dos Hermanas	6	4	1	1	8	13
3	Portuense	6	4	1	1	7	13
4	Betis C	6	4	1	1	6	13
5	Tomares	6	3	2	1	2	11
6	Pozoblanco	6	3	1	2	4	10
7	Egabrense	6	2	2	2	1	8
8	San Roque Lepe	6	2	2	2	-1	8
9	Xerez Deportivo	6	2	2	2	-1	8
10	Chiclana	6	2	2	2	-1	8
11	Recreativo Huelva	6	2	1	3	-3	7
12	Ceuta II	6	2	1	3	-4	7
13	Linense	6	2	0	4	-2	6
14	Conil	6	2	0	4	-6	6
15	Cádiz II	6	1	2	3	-1	5
16	Bollullos	6	1	2	3	-2	5
17	Sevilla III	6	1	2	3	-3	5
18	Córdoba II	6	0	2	4	-7	2

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Betis C win, at 58.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 73% and over 2.5 goals at 77%.

A 59% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.