· Analysis updated 05:44 UTC
Bicskei vs Dunaharaszti MTK Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.95 expected goals for Bicskei and 1.49 for Dunaharaszti MTK, a combined total of 3.44. That distribution gives Bicskei the largest share of the 1X2 market at 49%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 67% for over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 49% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Bicskei win
48.5% probability
Expected goals
1.95 – 1.49
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Bicskei home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Dunaharaszti MTK away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Bicskei to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 49%, against 49% / 22% / 30% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.95 goals for Bicskei and 1.49 for Dunaharaszti MTK, a combined 3.44 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
70%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
51%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–19.3%
- 2–19.1%
- 1–26.9%
- 2–26.8%
- 1–06.3%
Recent form
Bicskei
- 2026-10-24T12:00:00.000Z · H vs MTE 1904 · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-10-17T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Dorogi FC · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Pápai Perutz · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-10-03T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Zalaegerszegi TE II · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Komárom · 4-5 (L)
Dunaharaszti MTK
- 2026-08-29T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Kaposvar · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-08-26T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Iváncsa · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-08-21T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Ikarus BSE · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-08-15T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Érdi VSE · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-12T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Majosi · 2-1 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-07-19T15:00:00.000Z · Bicskei 4-4 Dunaharaszti MTK (Friendlies Clubs)
- 2025-07-09T16:00:00.000Z · Bicskei 1-4 Dunaharaszti MTK (Friendlies Clubs)
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Bicskei win, at 48.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 66% and over 2.5 goals at 67%.
A 49% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.