· Analysis updated 20:47 UTC
Bicskei vs Ferencvarosi TC Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.76 expected goals for Bicskei and 1.83 for Ferencvarosi TC, a combined total of 3.59. That distribution gives Ferencvarosi TC the largest share of the 1X2 market at 40%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 70% for over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 40% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Draw/Away
62.3% probability
Expected goals
1.76 – 1.83
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Bicskei home form
9 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Ferencvarosi TC away threat
Scored in 7 of their last 7 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Ferencvarosi TC to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 40%, against 38% / 22% / 40% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.76 goals for Bicskei and 1.83 for Ferencvarosi TC, a combined 3.59 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
60%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
62%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–18.9%
- 1–28.1%
- 2–17.8%
- 2–27.2%
- 0–15.0%
Recent form
Bicskei
- 2026-10-03T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Zalaegerszegi TE II · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Komárom · 4-5 (L)
- 2026-09-20T14:00:00.000Z · A vs 1908 SZAC · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-12T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Hartai · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Veszprém · 3-2 (W)
Ferencvarosi TC
- 2026-10-10T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Debreceni VSC · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-20T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Nyiregyhaza · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-17T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Celtic · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-12T11:00:00.000Z · A vs DEAC · 7-0 (W)
- 2026-09-06T15:45:00.000Z · H vs Ujpest · 2-2 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 62.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 70% and over 2.5 goals at 70%.
A 62% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.