India · Calcutta Premier Division · Regular season09:30
BidhannagarLLLLD

0 – 1

Saturday, 29 August 2026

· Analysis updated 15:43 UTC

Bidhannagar vs George Telegraph Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.48 expected goals for Bidhannagar and 1.34 for George Telegraph, a combined total of 2.81. That distribution gives Bidhannagar the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 53% for over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

65.7% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.34

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Bidhannagar home form

    1 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Bidhannagar to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 41%, against 41% / 25% / 34% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.48 goals for Bidhannagar and 1.34 for George Telegraph, a combined 2.81 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 53% and both teams to score at 57%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.

Match result (1X2)

Bidhannagar win41%
Draw25%
George Telegraph win34%

Double chance 1X

66%

Double chance 12

75%

Double chance X2

59%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals77%
Over 2.5 goals53%
Over 3.5 goals31%
Both teams to score57%

Correct score

  • 1–111.8%
  • 1–08.9%
  • 2–18.7%
  • 0–18.0%
  • 1–27.9%

Recent form

Bidhannagar

  • 2026-09-01T09:30:00.000Z · H vs Kalighat · 0-4 (L)
  • 2026-08-29T09:30:00.000Z · H vs George Telegraph · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-08-26T09:30:00.000Z · H vs Bhawanipore · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-08-23T09:30:00.000Z · H vs Calcutta Customs · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-08-18T09:30:00.000Z · H vs United Kolkata · 2-2 (D)

George Telegraph

  • 2026-09-02T09:30:00.000Z · H vs Calcutta Customs · 0-6 (L)
  • 2026-08-29T09:30:00.000Z · A vs Bidhannagar · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-26T09:30:00.000Z · H vs Mohun Bagan · 0-6 (L)
  • 2026-08-19T09:30:00.000Z · H vs Kalighat · 2-4 (L)
  • 2026-08-13T09:30:00.000Z · H vs United Kolkata · 1-7 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Calcutta Premier Division table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1East Bengal149502732
2Bhawanipore149411731
3Mohun Bagan149322530
4Mohammedan14743725
5United146531523
6Coal India14644-322
7Peerless116231120
8Aryan115421219
9Calcutta Customs115331218
10Calcutta Police11533218
11Police11452217
12United Kolkata11443616
13Measurers11362415
14Kalighat11425514
15Railway11425014
16Kidderpore11263-312
17BSS Sporting11335-412
18Patha Chakra11317-2010
19NA Suruchi Sangha11236-99
20Rainbow11218-187
21Wari11146-197
22George Telegraph11218-267
23Kalighat Club11038-173
24Bidhannagar11029-262

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 65.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 53%.

A 66% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.