Bidhannagar vs United Kolkata Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.83 expected goals for Bidhannagar and 2.95 for United Kolkata, a combined total of 3.78. That distribution gives United Kolkata the largest share of the 1X2 market at 80%, with the draw at 12%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 72% for over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score, with 0–2 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 80% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

United Kolkata win

80.1% probability

High confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

0.83 – 2.95

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Bidhannagar home form
1 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates United Kolkata to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 80%, against 8% / 12% / 80% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.83 goals for Bidhannagar and 2.95 for United Kolkata, a combined 3.78 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 72% and both teams to score at 53%, with 0–2 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.

Match result (1X2)

Bidhannagar win8%

Draw12%

United Kolkata win80%

Double chance 1X

20%

Double chance 12

88%

Double chance X2

93%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals89%

Over 2.5 goals72%

Over 3.5 goals52%

Both teams to score53%

Correct score

0–210.0%
0–39.8%
1–28.2%
1–38.1%
0–47.2%

Recent form

Bidhannagar

2026-09-01T09:30:00.000Z · H vs Kalighat · 0-4 (L)
2026-08-29T09:30:00.000Z · H vs George Telegraph · 0-1 (L)
2026-08-26T09:30:00.000Z · H vs Bhawanipore · 0-3 (L)
2026-08-23T09:30:00.000Z · H vs Calcutta Customs · 0-3 (L)
2026-08-18T09:30:00.000Z · H vs United Kolkata · 2-2 (D)

United Kolkata

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Calcutta Premier Division table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	East Bengal	14	9	5	0	27	32
2	Bhawanipore	14	9	4	1	17	31
3	Mohun Bagan	14	9	3	2	25	30
4	Mohammedan	14	7	4	3	7	25
5	United	14	6	5	3	15	23
6	Coal India	14	6	4	4	-3	22
7	Peerless	11	6	2	3	11	20
8	Aryan	11	5	4	2	12	19
9	Calcutta Customs	11	5	3	3	12	18
10	Calcutta Police	11	5	3	3	2	18
11	Police	11	4	5	2	2	17
12	United Kolkata	11	4	4	3	6	16
13	Measurers	11	3	6	2	4	15
14	Kalighat	11	4	2	5	5	14
15	Railway	11	4	2	5	0	14
16	Kidderpore	11	2	6	3	-3	12
17	BSS Sporting	11	3	3	5	-4	12
18	Patha Chakra	11	3	1	7	-20	10
19	NA Suruchi Sangha	11	2	3	6	-9	9
20	Rainbow	11	2	1	8	-18	7
21	Wari	11	1	4	6	-19	7
22	George Telegraph	11	2	1	8	-26	7
23	Kalighat Club	11	0	3	8	-17	3
24	Bidhannagar	11	0	2	9	-26	2

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is United Kolkata win, at 80.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–2.

It puts both teams scoring at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 72%.

A 80% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.