· Analysis updated 09:37 UTC
Bihorul Beiuş vs Transilvania Sport Academy Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.75 expected goals for Bihorul Beiuş and 0.50 for Transilvania Sport Academy, a combined total of 3.25. That distribution gives Bihorul Beiuş the largest share of the 1X2 market at 84%, with the draw at 11%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 63% for over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 15%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 84% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Bihorul Beiuş win
84.1% probability
Expected goals
2.75 – 0.50
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Bihorul Beiuş home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Transilvania Sport Academy away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Bihorul Beiuş to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 84%, against 84% / 11% / 5% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.75 goals for Bihorul Beiuş and 0.50 for Transilvania Sport Academy, a combined 3.25 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
96%
Double chance 12
89%
Double chance X2
16%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–014.7%
- 3–013.4%
- 1–010.7%
- 4–09.2%
- 2–17.3%
Recent form
Bihorul Beiuş
- 2026-10-09T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Sânmartin · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Sănătatea Cluj · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Crişul Sântandrei · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-23T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Sighetu Marmaţiei · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Unirea Tășnad · 0-0 (D)
Transilvania Sport Academy
- 2026-10-24T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Sighetu Marmaţiei · 0-5 (L)
- 2026-10-17T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Unirea Tășnad · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Minaur Baia Mare · 0-6 (L)
- 2026-10-02T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Viitorul Cluj · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Unirea Dej · 0-0 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Liga III - Serie 8 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Minaur Baia Mare | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 20 |
| 2 | Sănătatea Cluj | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 16 |
| 3 | Crişul Sântandrei | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 16 |
| 4 | SCM Zalău | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 15 |
| 5 | Academica Recea | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 15 |
| 6 | Sighetu Marmaţiei | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 14 |
| 7 | Sânmartin | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13 |
| 8 | Viitorul Cluj | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 |
| 9 | Bihorul Beiuş | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 12 |
| 10 | Unirea Tășnad | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -11 | 9 |
| 11 | Unirea Dej | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -11 | 5 |
| 12 | Transilvania Sport Academy | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | -25 | 1 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Bihorul Beiuş win, at 84.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 37% and over 2.5 goals at 63%.
A 84% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.