· Analysis updated 15:26 UTC
Bilje vs Dekani Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.23 expected goals for Bilje and 1.33 for Dekani, a combined total of 2.55. That distribution gives Dekani the largest share of the 1X2 market at 39%, with the draw at 27%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 47% for over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 39% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Draw/Away
65.7% probability
Expected goals
1.23 – 1.33
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Bilje home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Dekani away threat
Scored in 1 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Dekani to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 39%, against 34% / 27% / 39% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.23 goals for Bilje and 1.33 for Dekani, a combined 2.55 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
61%
Double chance 12
73%
Double chance X2
66%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–112.7%
- 0–110.3%
- 1–09.6%
- 1–28.4%
- 0–07.8%
Recent form
Bilje
- 2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Krško · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-20T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Jesenice · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-11T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Primorje · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-05T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Slovan Ljubljana · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-08-29T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Rudar · 1-4 (L)
Dekani
- 2026-09-25T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Ilirija · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-20T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Krka · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-13T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Beltinci · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-04T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Tabor Sežana · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-08-29T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Krško · 0-0 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
2. SNL table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tabor Sežana | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 25 |
| 2 | Beltinci | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 22 |
| 3 | Triglav | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 22 |
| 4 | Jesenice | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 17 |
| 5 | Slovan Ljubljana | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 17 |
| 6 | Ilirija | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 16 |
| 7 | Rudar | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 15 |
| 8 | Bilje | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | -4 | 15 |
| 9 | Dekani | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 15 |
| 10 | Bistrica | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 14 |
| 11 | Dren Vrhnika | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 14 |
| 12 | Primorje | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -5 | 10 |
| 13 | Krško | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -9 | 9 |
| 14 | Krka | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -8 | 7 |
| 15 | Dravinja | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -15 | 5 |
| 16 | Brežice | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -10 | 3 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 65.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 52% and over 2.5 goals at 47%.
A 66% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.