England · FA Cup · 2nd Round Qualifying14:00

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Saturday, 19 September 2026

Enfield TownDWWWL

· Analysis updated 01:50 UTC

Billericay Town vs Enfield Town Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.04 expected goals for Billericay Town and 1.68 for Enfield Town, a combined total of 3.72. That distribution gives Billericay Town the largest share of the 1X2 market at 47%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 72% for over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 47% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Billericay Town win

46.6% probability

Low confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

2.04 – 1.68

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Billericay Town home form

    10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Enfield Town away threat

    Scored in 6 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Head-to-head goals

    Both teams scored in 5 of the last 9 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Billericay Town win47%
Draw21%
Enfield Town win32%

Double chance 1X

68%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

53%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals89%
Over 2.5 goals72%
Over 3.5 goals51%
Both teams to score71%

Correct score

  • 2–18.5%
  • 1–18.3%
  • 2–27.1%
  • 1–27.0%
  • 3–15.8%

Recent form

Billericay Town

  • 2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Farnborough · 4-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Torquay · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Enfield Town · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-15T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Braintree · 3-2 (W)
  • 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Maidenhead · 2-2 (D)

Enfield Town

  • 2026-10-06T18:45:00.000Z · A vs Stanway Rovers · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-10-03T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Oxford City · 1-6 (L)
  • 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Hanwell Town · 4-2 (W)
  • 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Billericay Town · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-15T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Dartford · 0-2 (L)

Head-to-head

  • 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · Billericay Town 1-3 Enfield Town (FA Cup)
  • 2024-07-30T18:45:00.000Z · Billericay Town 4-0 Enfield Town (Friendlies Clubs)
  • 2024-01-30T19:45:00.000Z · Billericay Town 2-1 Enfield Town (Non League Premier - Isthmian)
  • 2023-10-24T18:45:00.000Z · Billericay Town 1-1 Enfield Town (Non League Premier - Isthmian)
  • 2023-02-04T15:00:00.000Z · Billericay Town 0-4 Enfield Town (Non League Premier - Isthmian)
  • 2023-01-24T19:45:00.000Z · Billericay Town 0-2 Enfield Town (Non League Premier - Isthmian)
  • 2015-09-15T18:45:00.000Z · Billericay Town 0-2 Enfield Town (FA Cup)
  • 2015-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · Billericay Town 1-1 Enfield Town (FA Cup)
  • 2012-11-10T15:00:00.000Z · Billericay Town 3-2 Enfield Town (FA Trophy)

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Billericay Town win, at 46.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 71% and over 2.5 goals at 72%.

A 47% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.