Bilogora 91 vs Koprivnica Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.09 expected goals for Bilogora 91 and 2.21 for Koprivnica, a combined total of 3.30. That distribution gives Koprivnica the largest share of the 1X2 market at 63%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 64% for over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 63% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Koprivnica win

62.8% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.09 – 2.21

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Bilogora 91 home form
12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Koprivnica away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 7 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Koprivnica to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 63%, against 18% / 20% / 63% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.09 goals for Bilogora 91 and 2.21 for Koprivnica, a combined 3.30 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Bilogora 91 win18%

Draw20%

Koprivnica win63%

Double chance 1X

37%

Double chance 12

80%

Double chance X2

82%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals84%

Over 2.5 goals64%

Over 3.5 goals42%

Both teams to score59%

Correct score

1–29.8%
0–29.0%
1–18.9%
0–18.1%
1–37.2%

Recent form

Bilogora 91

2025-11-29T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Podravina Ludbreg · 2-1 (W)
2025-11-24T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Graničar Đurđevac · 0-4 (L)
2025-11-15T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Graničar Kotoriba · 3-2 (W)
2025-11-08T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Nedelišće · 3-1 (W)
2025-11-02T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Polet · 0-1 (L)

Koprivnica

2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Grobničan Čavle · 1-5 (L)
2026-09-12T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Križevci · 0-3 (L)
2026-09-09T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Rudes · 2-3 (L)
2026-09-05T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Trnje · 0-1 (L)
2026-08-29T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Slavonija Požega · 2-2 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Third NL - Sjever table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Koprivnica	15	11	2	2	28	35
2	Graničar Đurđevac	15	10	4	1	35	34
3	Dinamo Predavac	15	9	4	2	15	31
4	Rudar Mursko Središće	15	8	4	3	14	28
5	Bilogora 91	15	8	1	6	3	25
6	Međimurec Pretetinec	15	7	4	4	1	25
7	Polet	15	7	2	6	-2	23
8	Graničar Kotoriba	14	7	0	7	6	21
9	Pitomača	15	5	4	6	-9	19
10	Slatina	15	5	3	7	-4	18
11	Podravina Ludbreg	15	3	6	6	-10	15
12	Medjimurje Cakovec	15	3	4	8	-9	13
13	Garić Garešnica	14	3	4	7	-13	13
14	Daruvar	14	3	2	9	-14	11
15	Nedelišće	14	3	1	10	-16	10
16	Dinamo Domašinec	15	2	3	10	-25	9

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Koprivnica win, at 62.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.

It puts both teams scoring at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 64%.

A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.