· Analysis updated 03:06 UTC
Bílovec vs Kravare Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.85 expected goals for Bílovec and 2.29 for Kravare, a combined total of 3.14. That distribution gives Kravare the largest share of the 1X2 market at 70%, with the draw at 18%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 61% for over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score, with 0–2 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 70% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Kravare win
69.6% probability
Expected goals
0.85 – 2.29
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Bílovec home form
6 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Kravare to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 70%, against 12% / 18% / 70% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.85 goals for Bílovec and 2.29 for Kravare, a combined 3.14 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 61% and both teams to score at 52%, with 0–2 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
30%
Double chance 12
82%
Double chance X2
88%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–211.3%
- 0–19.9%
- 1–29.7%
- 0–38.6%
- 1–18.4%
Recent form
Bílovec
- 2026-10-17T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Jiskra Rýmařov · 0-5 (L)
- 2026-10-11T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Vratimov · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Šumperk · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Kravare · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-19T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Nový Jičín · 0-3 (L)
Kravare
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
4. liga - Divizie F table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bospor Bohumín | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 30 |
| 2 | Kravare | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 27 |
| 3 | Vratimov | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 27 |
| 4 | Hlučín | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 23 |
| 5 | Valašské Meziříčí | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 19 |
| 6 | Opava II | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 19 |
| 7 | Zabreh | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 18 |
| 8 | Jiskra Rýmařov | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 17 |
| 9 | Stonava | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 17 |
| 10 | Nový Jičín | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 15 |
| 11 | Pustá Polom | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 14 |
| 12 | Frydek-Mistek B | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | -4 | 13 |
| 13 | Šumperk | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -3 | 11 |
| 14 | Břidličná | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -11 | 10 |
| 15 | Bílovec | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -17 | 9 |
| 16 | Frýdlant | 12 | 1 | 0 | 11 | -31 | 3 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Kravare win, at 69.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 52% and over 2.5 goals at 61%.
A 70% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.