Sportanlage Spiegelfeld · Analysis updated 11:43 UTC
Binningen vs Bosna Neuchâtel Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.19 expected goals for Binningen and 1.81 for Bosna Neuchâtel, a combined total of 3.00. That distribution gives Bosna Neuchâtel the largest share of the 1X2 market at 52%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 58% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 52% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Bosna Neuchâtel win
52.0% probability
Expected goals
1.19 – 1.81
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Binningen home form
6 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Bosna Neuchâtel to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 52%, against 25% / 23% / 52% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.19 goals for Binningen and 1.81 for Bosna Neuchâtel, a combined 3.00 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 58% and both teams to score at 58%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
48%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
75%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.7%
- 1–29.7%
- 0–19.0%
- 0–28.2%
- 2–16.4%
Recent form
Binningen
- 2025-06-14T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Bosporus · 4-3 (W)
- 2025-06-07T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Ajoie-Monterri · 1-0 (W)
- 2025-05-31T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Muri-Gümligen · 1-3 (L)
- 2025-05-24T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Dornach · 3-3 (D)
- 2025-05-17T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Lerchenfeld · 1-3 (L)
Bosna Neuchâtel
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
2. Liga Interregional - Group 2 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Old Boys | 30 | 21 | 3 | 6 | 47 | 66 |
| 2 | Bosporus | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 59 |
| 3 | Stade-Lausanne-Ouchy II | 30 | 18 | 4 | 8 | 30 | 58 |
| 4 | Düdingen | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 53 |
| 5 | Bosna Neuchâtel | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 51 |
| 6 | Dornach | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 50 |
| 7 | Ajoie-Monterri | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | -4 | 40 |
| 8 | Pratteln | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 38 |
| 9 | Ueberstorf | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | -12 | 37 |
| 10 | Allschwil | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | -15 | 37 |
| 11 | Muri-Gümligen | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | -8 | 35 |
| 12 | Lyss | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | -18 | 32 |
| 13 | Binningen | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | -17 | 32 |
| 14 | Lerchenfeld | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | -24 | 31 |
| 15 | Lommiswil | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | -18 | 31 |
| 16 | Tavannes / Tramelan | 30 | 6 | 2 | 22 | -28 | 20 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Bosna Neuchâtel win, at 52.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 58%.
A 52% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.