Saudi-Arabia · Division 2 · Matchweek 2813:00

1 – 0

Friday, 27 March 2026

· Analysis updated 02:00 UTC

Bisha vs Hetten FC Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.33 expected goals for Bisha and 1.30 for Hetten FC, a combined total of 2.63. That distribution gives Bisha the largest share of the 1X2 market at 38%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 49% for over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 38% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

63.7% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.33 – 1.30

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Bisha home form

    5 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Hetten FC away threat

    Scored in 2 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Bisha to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 38%, against 38% / 26% / 36% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.33 goals for Bisha and 1.30 for Hetten FC, a combined 2.63 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Bisha win38%
Draw26%
Hetten FC win36%

Double chance 1X

64%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

63%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals49%
Over 3.5 goals27%
Both teams to score53%

Correct score

  • 1–112.5%
  • 1–09.6%
  • 0–19.4%
  • 2–18.3%
  • 1–28.1%

Recent form

Bisha

  • 2026-04-09T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Al Rayan · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-04-03T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Al Loa · 1-4 (L)
  • 2026-03-27T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Hetten FC · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-03-13T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Al-Wajj · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-03-06T19:00:00.000Z · H vs Hajer · 0-2 (L)

Hetten FC

  • 2026-04-09T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Al-Wajj · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-04-03T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Ohod · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-03-27T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Bisha · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-03-13T18:30:00.000Z · H vs Al Rayan · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-03-06T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Al Loa · 0-4 (L)

Head-to-head

  • 2026-03-27T13:00:00.000Z · Bisha 1-0 Hetten FC (Division 2)
  • 2025-12-16T12:40:00.000Z · Bisha 0-2 Hetten FC (Division 2)

Division 2 table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Sharq321077
2Al Entesar321037
3Al-Wajj321037
4Baish220026
5Al-Kawkab320106
6Al Hada211034
7Al Rawdhah211024
8Al Sahel311104
9Al Taraji3111-14
10Al Arabi SC3111-14
11Al-Ain110033
12Al Qalah110023
13Al Rayan210113
14Najran110013
15Al Qous303003
16Al Shoalah210103
17Arar210103
18Al Najoom3102-13
19Al Safa2101-23
20Al Baten202002
21Al Jubail3021-12
22Jubbah3021-22
23Mudhar Club101001
24Al Nairyah2011-11
25Qilwah2011-11
26Afif3012-21
27Al Gottah2011-21
28Al Loa2011-21
29Al Qwarah3012-31
30Jerash1001-10
31Al-Washm2002-70

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 63.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 49%.

A 64% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.