Germany · Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg · Baden-Württemberg - 3313:30

3 – 0

Saturday, 18 May 2024

Waldstrasse Kunstrasenplatz · Analysis updated 03:20 UTC

Bissingen vs FC Holzhausen Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.00 expected goals for Bissingen and 1.83 for FC Holzhausen, a combined total of 3.83. That distribution gives Bissingen the largest share of the 1X2 market at 43%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 74% for over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 43% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

63.8% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

2.00 – 1.83

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Bissingen home form

    9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • FC Holzhausen away threat

    Scored in 2 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Bissingen to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 43%, against 43% / 21% / 36% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.00 goals for Bissingen and 1.83 for FC Holzhausen, a combined 3.83 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Bissingen win43%
Draw21%
FC Holzhausen win36%

Double chance 1X

64%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

57%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals90%
Over 2.5 goals74%
Over 3.5 goals53%
Both teams to score73%

Correct score

  • 1–17.9%
  • 2–17.9%
  • 1–27.3%
  • 2–27.3%
  • 3–15.3%

Recent form

Bissingen

  • 2026-07-11T15:00:00.000Z · H vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach · 0-7 (L)
  • 2026-05-30T13:30:00.000Z · H vs FC Nöttingen · 3-2 (W)
  • 2026-05-23T13:30:00.000Z · A vs FV Ravensburg · 2-5 (L)
  • 2026-05-16T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Denzlingen · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-05-08T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Backnang · 3-0 (W)

FC Holzhausen

  • 2026-09-12T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Reutlingen · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-09T16:30:00.000Z · A vs FC 08 Villingen · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-09-04T15:30:00.000Z · H vs FC Nöttingen · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-29T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Teningen · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-22T12:00:00.000Z · H vs 1. FC Muhlhausen · 1-3 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Oberachern139221729
2Backnang138411728
3FC 08 Villingen13823826
4Reutlingen13823726
5Bahlinger SC13652523
6Young Boys Reutlingen13643922
7FV Ravensburg13544919
8Karlsruhe II12543119
91. FC Muhlhausen13535-218
10CFR Pforzheim13526-317
11FC Holzhausen13526-317
12Essingen13436-515
13TSV Singen13427-814
14Balingen13346-313
15Teningen13418-1113
16FC Nöttingen12408712
17Türkspor Neckarsulm133010-229
18Normannia Gmünd132011-236

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 63.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 73% and over 2.5 goals at 74%.

A 64% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.