Bitam vs FC 105 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.53 expected goals for Bitam and 0.99 for FC 105, a combined total of 2.52. That distribution gives Bitam the largest share of the 1X2 market at 50%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 46% for over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 50% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Bitam win

49.9% probability

Low confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

1.53 – 0.99

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Bitam home form
5 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
FC 105 away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Bitam to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 50%, against 50% / 26% / 24% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.53 goals for Bitam and 0.99 for FC 105, a combined 2.52 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Bitam win50%

Draw26%

FC 105 win24%

Double chance 1X

76%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

50%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals72%

Over 2.5 goals46%

Over 3.5 goals25%

Both teams to score49%

Correct score

1–012.3%
1–112.2%
2–09.4%
2–19.3%
0–08.0%

Recent form

Bitam

2026-07-04T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Ogooue FC · 2-1 (W)
2026-06-30T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Bouenguidi · 1-0 (W)
2026-06-27T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Pélican · 2-3 (L)
2026-06-24T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Vautour Club · 0-2 (L)
2026-06-21T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Dikaki · 2-1 (W)

FC 105

2026-07-04T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Vautour Club · 1-1 (D)
2026-06-30T14:30:00.000Z · H vs US Oyem · 0-1 (L)
2026-06-27T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Lozo · 0-0 (D)
2026-06-20T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Ogooue FC · 0-1 (L)
2026-06-13T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Bouenguidi · 2-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Championnat D1 table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Mounana	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Mangasport	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Lozo	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Pélican	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Ogooue FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Oyem AC	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Stade Mandji	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Cercle Mbéri	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Stade Migoveen	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	FC 105	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	US Oyem	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Bitam	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	Missile	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	Vautour Club	0	0	0	0	0	0

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Bitam win, at 49.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 49% and over 2.5 goals at 46%.

A 50% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.