Stade Gaston Peyrille · Analysis updated 04:10 UTC
Bitam vs US Oyem Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.06 expected goals for Bitam and 0.99 for US Oyem, a combined total of 2.05. That distribution gives Bitam the largest share of the 1X2 market at 37%, with the draw at 30%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 34% for over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 14%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 37% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
67.1% probability
Expected goals
1.06 – 0.99
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Bitam home form
5 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
US Oyem away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Bitam to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 37%, against 37% / 30% / 33% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.06 goals for Bitam and 0.99 for US Oyem, a combined 2.05 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
67%
Double chance 12
70%
Double chance X2
63%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–013.7%
- 1–113.5%
- 0–012.8%
- 0–112.7%
- 2–07.3%
Recent form
Bitam
- 2026-07-04T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Ogooue FC · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-06-30T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Bouenguidi · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-06-27T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Pélican · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-06-24T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Vautour Club · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-06-21T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Dikaki · 2-1 (W)
US Oyem
- 2026-07-04T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Oyem AC · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-06-30T14:30:00.000Z · A vs FC 105 · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-06-27T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Mangasport · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-06-20T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Stade Migoveen · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-06-17T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Bitam · 0-0 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 67.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 41% and over 2.5 goals at 34%.
A 67% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.