BKV Előre vs Hódmezővásárhely Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.58 expected goals for BKV Előre and 2.28 for Hódmezővásárhely, a combined total of 3.85. That distribution gives Hódmezővásárhely the largest share of the 1X2 market at 54%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 74% for over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 54% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Hódmezővásárhely win

53.5% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.58 – 2.28

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

BKV Előre home form
1 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Hódmezővásárhely away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 7 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 5 of the last 7 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

BKV Előre win27%

Draw20%

Hódmezővásárhely win54%

Double chance 1X

47%

Double chance 12

80%

Double chance X2

74%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals90%

Over 2.5 goals74%

Over 3.5 goals54%

Both teams to score71%

Correct score

1–28.7%
1–17.6%
2–26.8%
1–36.6%
2–16.0%

Recent form

BKV Előre

2026-10-03T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Vasas II · 0-3 (L)
2026-09-27T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Bekescsaba 1912 · 0-4 (L)
2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Sándorfalva · 1-0 (W)
2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Monori Se · 1-3 (L)
2026-08-30T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Hódmezővásárhely · 2-2 (D)

Hódmezővásárhely

2026-10-04T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Szeged-Csanád II · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-26T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Vasas II · 0-2 (L)
2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Bekescsaba 1912 · 1-3 (L)
2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Sándorfalva · 3-1 (W)
2026-08-30T15:30:00.000Z · A vs BKV Előre · 2-2 (D)

Head-to-head

2026-08-30T15:30:00.000Z · BKV Előre 2-2 Hódmezővásárhely (NB III - Southeast)
2026-05-03T15:00:00.000Z · BKV Előre 2-3 Hódmezővásárhely (NB III - Southeast)
2025-10-19T11:00:00.000Z · BKV Előre 1-1 Hódmezővásárhely (NB III - Southeast)
2025-05-25T15:00:00.000Z · BKV Előre 0-1 Hódmezővásárhely (NB III - Southeast)
2024-11-10T12:00:00.000Z · BKV Előre 1-2 Hódmezővásárhely (NB III - Southeast)
2024-05-19T15:00:00.000Z · BKV Előre 0-1 Hódmezővásárhely (NB III - Southeast)
2023-11-05T12:00:00.000Z · BKV Előre 2-2 Hódmezővásárhely (NB III - Southeast)

NB III - Southeast table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Gyulai Termál	12	12	0	0	33	36
2	ESMTK	12	8	3	1	21	27
3	III. Kerületi TUE	12	8	2	2	11	26
4	Szeged-Csanád II	12	5	5	2	7	20
5	Újpest II	12	5	4	3	10	19
6	Vasas II	12	5	3	4	11	18
7	Csepel	12	4	5	3	6	17
8	Bekescsaba 1912	12	3	5	4	1	14
9	Monori Se	12	3	5	4	-1	14
10	Szolnoki MAV FC	12	3	5	4	-2	14
11	Dabas	12	4	2	6	-12	14
12	Honvéd II	12	3	2	7	-2	11
13	Sándorfalva	12	3	1	8	-22	10
14	Hódmezővásárhely	12	1	5	6	-12	8
15	BKV Előre	12	2	2	8	-28	8
16	Szegedi VSE	12	1	3	8	-21	6

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Hódmezővásárhely win, at 53.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.

It puts both teams scoring at 71% and over 2.5 goals at 74%.

A 54% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.