· Analysis updated 17:40 UTC
Black Stars vs FC Wohlen Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.65 expected goals for Black Stars and 0.75 for FC Wohlen, a combined total of 1.40. That distribution gives FC Wohlen the largest share of the 1X2 market at 34%, with the draw at 38%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 17% for over 2.5 goals and 25% for both teams to score, with 0–0 the single most likely scoreline at 25%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 34% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
66.1% probability
Expected goals
0.65 – 0.75
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Black Stars home form
5 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
FC Wohlen away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates the draw the strongest 1X2 selection at 38%, against 28% / 38% / 34% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.65 goals for Black Stars and 0.75 for FC Wohlen, a combined 1.40 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
66%
Double chance 12
62%
Double chance X2
72%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–024.7%
- 0–118.5%
- 1–016.0%
- 1–112.0%
- 0–26.9%
Recent form
Black Stars
- 2026-10-24T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Zug · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-10-17T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Dietikon · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-10-11T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Solothurn · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-10-03T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Muttenz · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Bassecourt · 1-1 (D)
FC Wohlen
- 2026-09-30T18:15:00.000Z · H vs Schötz · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-09-26T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Buochs · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Thun II · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-12T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Grasshopper II · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-05T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Black Stars · 0-1 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
1. Liga Classic - Group 2 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Langenthal | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 23 |
| 2 | Courtételle | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 22 |
| 3 | Schötz | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 20 |
| 4 | Muttenz | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 20 |
| 5 | Solothurn | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 19 |
| 6 | Delémont | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 17 |
| 7 | Concordia Basel | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 17 |
| 8 | Buochs | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 16 |
| 9 | Muri-Gümligen | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | -3 | 16 |
| 10 | Grasshopper II | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | -3 | 15 |
| 11 | Zug | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -8 | 13 |
| 12 | Bassecourt | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -8 | 13 |
| 13 | Thun II | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -5 | 12 |
| 14 | FC Wohlen | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -5 | 12 |
| 15 | Black Stars | 11 | 1 | 6 | 4 | -5 | 9 |
| 16 | Münsingen | 11 | 0 | 2 | 9 | -19 | 2 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 66.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 25% and over 2.5 goals at 17%.
A 66% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.