· Analysis updated 11:48 UTC
Blackburn Rovers U21 vs Queens Park Rangers U21 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.96 expected goals for Blackburn Rovers U21 and 2.31 for Queens Park Rangers U21, a combined total of 5.27. That distribution gives Blackburn Rovers U21 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 52%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 89% for over 2.5 goals and 85% for both teams to score, with 2–2 the single most likely scoreline at 6%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 52% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Blackburn Rovers U21 win
52.2% probability
Expected goals
2.96 – 2.31
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Blackburn Rovers U21 home form
6 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Queens Park Rangers U21 away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Blackburn Rovers U21 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 52%, against 52% / 17% / 31% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.96 goals for Blackburn Rovers U21 and 2.31 for Queens Park Rangers U21, a combined 5.27 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
70%
Double chance 12
83%
Double chance X2
48%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–26.0%
- 3–25.9%
- 2–15.2%
- 3–15.1%
- 2–34.6%
Recent form
Blackburn Rovers U21
- 2026-09-19T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Crystal Palace U21 · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-14T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Reading U21 · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-09T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Queens Park Rangers U21 · 4-2 (W)
- 2026-08-28T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Ipswich Town U21 · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-08-14T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Southampton U21 · 0-4 (L)
Queens Park Rangers U21
- 2026-10-18T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Bristol City U21 · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-10-13T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Cardiff City U21 · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-09T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Southampton U21 · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-10-06T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Coventry City U21 · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-09-28T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Swansea City U21 · 2-4 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Premier League Cup table
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Blackburn Rovers U21 win, at 52.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 85% and over 2.5 goals at 89%.
A 52% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.