Czech-Republic · 3. liga - MSFL · MSFL - 514:00
BlanskoDLWDL

0 – 4

Saturday, 29 August 2026

Líšeň IIDDDWW

Stadion na Udolni · Analysis updated 15:03 UTC

Blansko vs Líšeň II Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.79 expected goals for Blansko and 2.38 for Líšeň II, a combined total of 3.17. That distribution gives Líšeň II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 73%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 61% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score, with 0–2 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 73% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Líšeň II win

72.7% probability

High confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

0.79 – 2.38

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Blansko home form

    4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Líšeň II away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Líšeň II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 73%, against 11% / 17% / 73% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 0.79 goals for Blansko and 2.38 for Líšeň II, a combined 3.17 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Blansko win11%
Draw17%
Líšeň II win73%

Double chance 1X

27%

Double chance 12

83%

Double chance X2

89%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals82%
Over 2.5 goals61%
Over 3.5 goals39%
Both teams to score50%

Correct score

  • 0–211.9%
  • 0–110.0%
  • 0–39.4%
  • 1–29.4%
  • 1–17.9%

Recent form

Blansko

  • 2026-09-20T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Karviná II · 5-3 (W)
  • 2026-09-12T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Vítkovice · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-09-06T08:30:00.000Z · A vs Zlín II · 1-4 (L)
  • 2026-09-02T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Polanka nad Odrou · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-08-29T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Líšeň II · 0-4 (L)

Líšeň II

  • 2026-08-15T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Hodonín · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-07T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Vrchovina · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-02T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Polanka nad Odrou · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-07-18T08:00:00.000Z · A vs FS Třebíč · 6-1 (W)
  • 2026-06-12T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Tatran Bohunice · 0-0 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

3. liga - MSFL table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Líšeň II117401625
2Zbrojovka Brno II11722823
3Uničov11722823
4Frýdek-Místek11632921
5Sigma Olomouc II11614719
6Hranice11524517
7Vítkovice11443316
8Unie Hlubina11434415
9Slovácko II11434415
10Uherský Brod11434015
11Zlín II11434-315
12Hodonín11425114
13Vrchovina11425-714
14Karviná II11326-611
15Vsetín11317-1310
16Blansko11155-128
17Polanka nad Odrou11137-106
18Havířov11056-145

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Líšeň II win, at 72.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–2.

It puts both teams scoring at 50% and over 2.5 goals at 61%.

A 73% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.