Blessing vs Saint-Luc Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.14 expected goals for Blessing and 0.57 for Saint-Luc, a combined total of 1.71. That distribution gives Blessing the largest share of the 1X2 market at 50%, with the draw at 32%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 25% for over 2.5 goals and 29% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 21%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 50% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Blessing win

49.9% probability

Low confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.14 – 0.57

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Blessing home form
10 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Blessing to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 50%, against 50% / 32% / 18% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.14 goals for Blessing and 0.57 for Saint-Luc, a combined 1.71 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 25% and both teams to score at 29%, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 21%.

Match result (1X2)

Blessing win50%

Draw32%

Saint-Luc win18%

Double chance 1X

82%

Double chance 12

68%

Double chance X2

50%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals51%

Over 2.5 goals25%

Over 3.5 goals10%

Both teams to score29%

Correct score

1–020.7%
0–018.1%
2–011.8%
1–111.7%
0–110.2%

Recent form

Blessing

2026-10-20T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Tanganyika · 1-2 (L)
2026-04-15T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Malole · 0-3 (L)
2026-04-09T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Saint Eloi Lupopo · 0-2 (L)
2026-04-05T13:00:00.000Z · A vs CS Manika · 1-2 (L)
2026-04-02T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Saint-Luc · 1-0 (W)

Saint-Luc

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Ligue 1 table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Saint Eloi Lupopo	2	1	1	0	2	4
1	Anges Verts	2	2	0	0	3	6
2	Tanganyika	2	1	1	0	1	4
2	Étoile du Congo	1	1	0	0	1	3
3	Simba	1	1	0	0	2	3
3	JSK	2	1	0	1	0	3
4	Blessing	2	1	0	1	0	3
4	FC Mk de Kinshasa	2	0	2	0	0	2
5	Don Bosco	2	0	2	0	0	2
5	Céleste	2	0	2	0	0	2
6	Sanga Balende	2	0	2	0	0	2
6	Dauphins Noirs	2	0	2	0	0	2
7	AS New Soger	2	0	2	0	0	2
7	Etoile de Kivu	1	0	1	0	0	1
8	CS Manika	2	0	2	0	0	2
8	FC Renaissance	1	0	1	0	0	1
9	Malole	1	0	1	0	0	1
9	Rangers	2	0	1	1	-1	1
10	Saint-Luc	2	0	1	1	-2	1
10	New Jack	2	0	1	1	-2	1
11	TP Mazembe	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Vita Club	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Lubumbashi Sport	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Maniema Union	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	Butras	1	0	0	1	-2	0
13	Novakin	1	0	0	1	-1	0

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Blessing win, at 49.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 29% and over 2.5 goals at 25%.

A 50% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.