Estadio Ramon Tahuichi Aguilera Costas · Referee M. Lopez · Analysis updated 16:21 UTC
Blooming vs ABB Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.83 expected goals for Blooming and 0.95 for ABB, a combined total of 2.78. That distribution gives Blooming the largest share of the 1X2 market at 58%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 52% for over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 58% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Blooming win
57.9% probability
Expected goals
1.83 – 0.95
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Blooming home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Blooming to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 58%, against 58% / 23% / 19% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.83 goals for Blooming and 0.95 for ABB, a combined 2.78 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 52% and both teams to score at 51%, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
81%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
42%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–011.4%
- 1–110.8%
- 2–010.4%
- 2–19.9%
- 3–06.3%
Recent form
Blooming
- 2026-10-04T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-10-02T00:30:00.000Z · H vs Independiente Petrolero · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-27T21:15:00.000Z · A vs Bolívar · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-20T23:30:00.000Z · A vs Oriente Petrolero · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-17T00:30:00.000Z · H vs Universitario de Vinto · 1-1 (D)
ABB
- 2026-09-25T21:15:00.000Z · H vs Aurora · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-19T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Always Ready · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-15T21:15:00.000Z · H vs The Strongest · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-12T23:30:00.000Z · A vs Blooming · 1-6 (L)
- 2026-09-08T19:00:00.000Z · H vs San Antonio Bulo Bulo · 0-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Primera División table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Always Ready | 21 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 36 | 48 |
| 2 | Bolívar | 21 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 33 | 48 |
| 3 | The Strongest | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 42 |
| 4 | Real Potosí | 21 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 35 |
| 5 | Oriente Petrolero | 21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 33 |
| 6 | Aurora | 21 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 31 |
| 7 | Guabirá | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | -10 | 29 |
| 8 | Nacional Potosí | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 28 |
| 9 | Blooming | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 27 |
| 10 | Independiente Petrolero | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | -10 | 25 |
| 11 | Real Oruro | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | -16 | 24 |
| 12 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | -19 | 21 |
| 13 | ABB | 21 | 6 | 2 | 13 | -15 | 20 |
| 14 | Universitario de Vinto | 21 | 5 | 3 | 13 | -15 | 18 |
| 15 | Gualberto Villarroel SJ | 21 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -13 | 17 |
| 16 | Real Tomayapo | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | -24 | 17 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Blooming win, at 57.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 51% and over 2.5 goals at 52%.
A 58% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.