Estadio Ramon Tahuichi Aguilera Costas · Referee I. N. Mendez Chavez · Analysis updated 12:04 UTC
Blooming vs Oriente Petrolero Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.00 expected goals for Blooming and 3.00 for Oriente Petrolero, a combined total of 5.00. That distribution gives Oriente Petrolero the largest share of the 1X2 market at 58%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 87% for over 2.5 goals and 82% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 6%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 58% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Oriente Petrolero win
58.4% probability
Expected goals
2.00 – 3.00
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Blooming home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Oriente Petrolero away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Oriente Petrolero to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 58%, against 25% / 17% / 58% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.00 goals for Blooming and 3.00 for Oriente Petrolero, a combined 5.00 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
42%
Double chance 12
83%
Double chance X2
75%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–26.1%
- 1–36.1%
- 2–26.1%
- 2–36.1%
- 1–44.5%
Recent form
Blooming
- 2026-10-04T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-10-02T00:30:00.000Z · H vs Independiente Petrolero · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-27T21:15:00.000Z · A vs Bolívar · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-20T23:30:00.000Z · A vs Oriente Petrolero · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-17T00:30:00.000Z · H vs Universitario de Vinto · 1-1 (D)
Oriente Petrolero
- 2026-09-27T00:00:00.000Z · A vs Universitario de Vinto · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-20T23:30:00.000Z · H vs Blooming · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-17T22:00:00.000Z · A vs Real Tomayapo · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-12T00:00:00.000Z · A vs Real Potosí · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-09T00:30:00.000Z · H vs Guabirá · 1-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Copa de la División Profesional table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente Petrolero | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 19 |
| 2 | Bolívar | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 18 |
| 3 | Aurora | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 18 |
| 4 | Nacional Potosí | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 17 |
| 5 | Real Potosí | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 17 |
| 6 | Oriente Petrolero | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 16 |
| 7 | The Strongest | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15 |
| 8 | Guabirá | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 12 |
| 9 | Always Ready | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -8 | 11 |
| 10 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 |
| 11 | Real Tomayapo | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -10 | 10 |
| 12 | Universitario de Vinto | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 7 |
| 13 | Real Oruro | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -5 | 7 |
| 14 | ABB | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -4 | 6 |
| 15 | Gualberto Villarroel SJ | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 6 |
| 16 | Blooming | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -9 | 4 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Oriente Petrolero win, at 58.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 82% and over 2.5 goals at 87%.
A 58% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.