· Analysis updated 13:36 UTC
Blumenthaler SV U19 vs Lübeck U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.95 expected goals for Blumenthaler SV U19 and 2.30 for Lübeck U19, a combined total of 5.25. That distribution gives Blumenthaler SV U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 52%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 89% for over 2.5 goals and 85% for both teams to score, with 2–2 the single most likely scoreline at 6%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 52% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Blumenthaler SV U19 win
52.2% probability
Expected goals
2.95 – 2.30
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Lübeck U19 away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Blumenthaler SV U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 52%, against 52% / 17% / 31% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.95 goals for Blumenthaler SV U19 and 2.30 for Lübeck U19, a combined 5.25 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 89% and both teams to score at 85%, with 2–2 the single most likely scoreline at 6%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
70%
Double chance 12
83%
Double chance X2
48%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–26.0%
- 3–25.9%
- 2–15.3%
- 3–15.2%
- 2–34.6%
Recent form
Blumenthaler SV U19
Lübeck U19
- 2026-08-01T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Hoffenheim U19 · 2-6 (L)
- 2026-05-23T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Arminia Bielefeld U19 · 0-9 (L)
- 2026-05-17T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Hallescher FC U19 · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-05-09T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Babelsberg U19 · 1-7 (L)
- 2026-05-02T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Blumenthaler SV U19 · 2-3 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-05-02T11:00:00.000Z · Blumenthaler SV U19 3-2 Lübeck U19 (U19 Bundesliga)
- 2026-02-28T10:00:00.000Z · Blumenthaler SV U19 3-4 Lübeck U19 (U19 Bundesliga)
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Blumenthaler SV U19 win, at 52.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 85% and over 2.5 goals at 89%.
A 52% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.