· Analysis updated 07:36 UTC
Blumenthaler SV vs Germania Egestorf Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.22 expected goals for Blumenthaler SV and 1.91 for Germania Egestorf, a combined total of 4.13. That distribution gives Blumenthaler SV the largest share of the 1X2 market at 46%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 78% for over 2.5 goals and 76% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 46% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Blumenthaler SV win
45.7% probability
Expected goals
2.22 – 1.91
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Blumenthaler SV home form
12 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Germania Egestorf away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Blumenthaler SV to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 46%, against 46% / 20% / 34% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.22 goals for Blumenthaler SV and 1.91 for Germania Egestorf, a combined 4.13 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
66%
Double chance 12
80%
Double chance X2
54%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–17.6%
- 2–27.2%
- 1–16.8%
- 1–26.5%
- 3–15.6%
Recent form
Blumenthaler SV
- 2026-08-29T11:00:00.000Z · H vs BTS Neustadt · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-22T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Werder Bremen III · 7-1 (W)
- 2026-08-13T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Schwachhausen · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-08-09T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Geestemünde · 7-1 (W)
- 2026-06-07T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Eimsbütteler TV · 0-6 (L)
Germania Egestorf
- 2026-10-18T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Nordhorn · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-10-11T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Spelle-Venhaus · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Bersenbrück · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-09-20T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Meppen II · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-13T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Eintracht Braunschw. II · 1-8 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Oberliga - Promotion Round table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eimsbütteler TV | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 |
| 2 | VfR Mannheim | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | Todesfelde | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Eddersheim | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Blumenthaler | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -7 | 3 |
| 6 | Pirmasens | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 |
| 7 | Egestorf-Langreder | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -6 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Blumenthaler SV win, at 45.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 76% and over 2.5 goals at 78%.
A 46% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.