Doha Stadium · Analysis updated 15:00 UTC
Bnei Sakhnin vs Maccabi Haifa Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.05 expected goals for Bnei Sakhnin and 1.78 for Maccabi Haifa, a combined total of 2.83. That distribution gives Maccabi Haifa the largest share of the 1X2 market at 54%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 54% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 54% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Maccabi Haifa win
54.4% probability
Expected goals
1.05 – 1.78
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Bnei Sakhnin home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Maccabi Haifa away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Maccabi Haifa to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 54%, against 22% / 23% / 54% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.05 goals for Bnei Sakhnin and 1.78 for Maccabi Haifa, a combined 2.83 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
46%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
78%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–111.1%
- 0–110.5%
- 1–29.8%
- 0–29.3%
- 1–06.2%
Recent form
Bnei Sakhnin
- 2026-09-19T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Hapoel Ramat Gan · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-14T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Hapoel Haifa · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-07T17:15:00.000Z · H vs Beitar Jerusalem · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-29T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Maccabi Petah Tikva · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-24T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Maccabi Netanya · 0-0 (D)
Maccabi Haifa
- 2026-09-19T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Ironi Tiberias · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-14T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-09-05T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Hapoel Petah Tikva · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-08-31T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Maccabi Tel Aviv · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-08-22T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Hapoel Ramat Gan · 2-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Ligat Ha'al table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 16 |
| 2 | Maccabi Haifa | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 15 |
| 3 | Hapoel Tel Aviv | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 13 |
| 4 | Hapoel Beer Sheva | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 |
| 5 | Beitar Jerusalem | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 12 |
| 6 | Hapoel Haifa | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 |
| 7 | Hapoel Katamon | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 8 | Maccabi Netanya | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | Maccabi Petah Tikva | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 6 |
| 10 | Bnei Sakhnin | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 5 |
| 11 | Hapoel Petah Tikva | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 |
| 12 | Ironi Kiryat Shmona | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -8 | 3 |
| 13 | Hapoel Ramat Gan | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -9 | 3 |
| 14 | Ironi Tiberias | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Maccabi Haifa win, at 54.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 54% and over 2.5 goals at 54%.
A 54% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.