Estadio Leoncio Benitez · Analysis updated 13:14 UTC
Boca Unidos vs Juventud Antoniana Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.08 expected goals for Boca Unidos and 1.23 for Juventud Antoniana, a combined total of 2.30. That distribution gives Juventud Antoniana the largest share of the 1X2 market at 40%, with the draw at 28%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 40% for over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 40% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Draw/Away
67.9% probability
Expected goals
1.08 – 1.23
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Boca Unidos home form
11 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Juventud Antoniana away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Juventud Antoniana to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 40%, against 32% / 28% / 40% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.08 goals for Boca Unidos and 1.23 for Juventud Antoniana, a combined 2.30 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
61%
Double chance 12
72%
Double chance X2
68%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–113.2%
- 0–112.3%
- 1–010.8%
- 0–010.0%
- 1–28.1%
Recent form
Boca Unidos
- 2026-10-17T23:00:00.000Z · A vs Bartolomé Mitre · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-11T19:00:00.000Z · H vs Bartolomé Mitre · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-19T18:30:00.000Z · H vs Defensores de Vilelas · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-09-13T19:00:00.000Z · A vs El Linqueño · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-06T19:00:00.000Z · H vs Gimnasia Concepción · 1-0 (W)
Juventud Antoniana
- 2026-09-19T00:00:00.000Z · H vs Cipolletti · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-13T19:30:00.000Z · A vs Atenas · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-05T01:00:00.000Z · H vs Kimberley Mar del Plata · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-08-30T18:45:00.000Z · A vs Argentino Monte Maíz · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-22T00:00:00.000Z · H vs Villa Mitre · 0-0 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Torneo Federal A table
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 67.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 47% and over 2.5 goals at 40%.
A 68% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.