· Analysis updated 18:50 UTC
Bochum W vs Carl Zeiss Jena W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.42 expected goals for Bochum W and 1.33 for Carl Zeiss Jena W, a combined total of 3.74. That distribution gives Bochum W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 61%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 72% for over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 61% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Bochum W win
61.4% probability
Expected goals
2.42 – 1.33
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Bochum W home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Carl Zeiss Jena W away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Bochum W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 61%, against 61% / 19% / 20% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.42 goals for Bochum W and 1.33 for Carl Zeiss Jena W, a combined 3.74 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
80%
Double chance 12
81%
Double chance X2
39%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–19.2%
- 1–17.6%
- 3–17.4%
- 2–06.9%
- 2–26.1%
Recent form
Bochum W
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Werder Bremen W · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-20T12:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Koln II W · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-13T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Borussia Monchengladbach W · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-06T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Andernach W · 6-0 (W)
- 2026-08-30T12:00:00.000Z · A vs SC Sand W · 3-0 (W)
Carl Zeiss Jena W
- 2026-10-04T12:00:00.000Z · H vs SC Sand W · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Eutingen W · 6-0 (W)
- 2026-09-20T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Andernach W · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-13T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Hoffenheim II W · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-06T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Eintracht Frankfurt II W · 0-1 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
2. Frauen Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viktoria Berlin W | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 24 |
| 2 | SGS Essen W | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 23 |
| 3 | Hertha Berlin W | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 22 |
| 4 | Bochum W | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 20 |
| 5 | Meppen W | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 15 |
| 6 | Carl Zeiss Jena W | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 13 |
| 7 | Ingolstadt W | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 |
| 8 | SC Sand W | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 12 |
| 9 | Andernach W | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | -9 | 12 |
| 10 | Borussia Monchengladbach W | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -3 | 10 |
| 11 | Eintracht Frankfurt II W | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -13 | 7 |
| 12 | Hoffenheim II W | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 5 |
| 13 | Turbine Potsdam W | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -15 | 4 |
| 14 | FC Koln II W | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -14 | 2 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Bochum W win, at 61.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 67% and over 2.5 goals at 72%.
A 61% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.