· Analysis updated 22:52 UTC
Bochum W vs FC Koln II W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 3.04 expected goals for Bochum W and 0.66 for FC Koln II W, a combined total of 3.71. That distribution gives Bochum W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 84%, with the draw at 11%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 71% for over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score, with 3–0 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 84% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Bochum W win
84.2% probability
Expected goals
3.04 – 0.66
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Bochum W home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Bochum W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 84%, against 84% / 11% / 5% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 3.04 goals for Bochum W and 0.66 for FC Koln II W, a combined 3.71 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 71% and both teams to score at 46%, with 3–0 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
95%
Double chance 12
89%
Double chance X2
16%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 3–011.5%
- 2–011.4%
- 4–08.8%
- 3–17.7%
- 2–17.5%
Recent form
Bochum W
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Werder Bremen W · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-20T12:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Koln II W · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-13T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Borussia Monchengladbach W · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-06T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Andernach W · 6-0 (W)
- 2026-08-30T12:00:00.000Z · A vs SC Sand W · 3-0 (W)
FC Koln II W
Head-to-head
- 2026-09-20T12:00:00.000Z · Bochum W 0-0 FC Koln II W (2. Frauen Bundesliga)
2. Frauen Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viktoria Berlin W | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 27 |
| 2 | SGS Essen W | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 23 |
| 3 | Hertha Berlin W | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 23 |
| 4 | Bochum W | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 20 |
| 5 | Meppen W | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 16 |
| 6 | Ingolstadt W | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 |
| 7 | Carl Zeiss Jena W | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 13 |
| 8 | Borussia Monchengladbach W | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 13 |
| 9 | Andernach W | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 13 |
| 10 | SC Sand W | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 12 |
| 11 | Eintracht Frankfurt II W | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -12 | 10 |
| 12 | Hoffenheim II W | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -10 | 5 |
| 13 | Turbine Potsdam W | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -15 | 5 |
| 14 | FC Koln II W | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -15 | 2 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Bochum W win, at 84.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 3–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 46% and over 2.5 goals at 71%.
A 84% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.