Bodrum FK vs Batman Petrolspor Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.66 expected goals for Bodrum FK and 1.29 for Batman Petrolspor, a combined total of 2.94. That distribution gives Bodrum FK the largest share of the 1X2 market at 46%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 56% for over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 46% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Bodrum FK win

46.1% probability

Low confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.66 – 1.29

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Bodrum FK home form
5 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Batman Petrolspor away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Bodrum FK to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 46%, against 46% / 24% / 30% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.66 goals for Bodrum FK and 1.29 for Batman Petrolspor, a combined 2.94 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Bodrum FK win46%

Draw24%

Batman Petrolspor win30%

Double chance 1X

70%

Double chance 12

76%

Double chance X2

54%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals79%

Over 2.5 goals56%

Over 3.5 goals34%

Both teams to score59%

Correct score

1–111.2%
2–19.3%
1–08.7%
1–27.2%
2–07.2%

Recent form

Bodrum FK

2026-10-09T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Keçiörengücü · 0-2 (L)
2026-09-20T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Pendikspor · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-12T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Batman Petrolspor · 4-0 (W)
2026-09-07T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Mardin 1969 · 0-1 (L)
2026-09-03T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Esenler Erokspor · 0-0 (D)

Batman Petrolspor

2026-10-18T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Kayserispor · 2-2 (D)
2026-10-14T11:30:00.000Z · H vs İstanbulspor · 4-2 (W)
2026-10-10T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Iğdır FK · 1-2 (L)
2026-09-19T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Bursaspor · 1-2 (L)
2026-09-12T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Bodrum FK · 0-4 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

1. Lig table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Kayserispor	11	8	2	1	17	26
2	Bursaspor	11	8	1	2	13	25
3	Iğdır FK	11	7	2	2	7	23
4	Keçiörengücü	11	5	5	1	10	20
5	Batman Petrolspor	11	6	2	3	3	20
6	Mardin 1969	11	5	3	3	4	18
7	Antalyaspor	11	6	0	5	0	18
8	Sarıyer	11	4	4	3	-1	16
9	Muğlaspor	11	3	6	2	-1	15
10	Bandırmaspor	11	3	5	3	8	14
11	Bodrum FK	11	3	5	3	3	14
12	Sivasspor	11	2	7	2	1	13
13	Fatih Karagümrük	11	3	4	4	-1	13
14	Esenler Erokspor	11	2	6	3	-3	12
15	Ümraniyespor	10	2	4	4	-1	10
16	Manisa F.K.	11	2	4	5	-2	10
17	Pendikspor	11	2	4	5	-9	10
18	Vanspor FK	11	2	3	6	-12	7
19	İstanbulspor	11	1	2	8	-17	5
20	Boluspor	10	0	1	9	-19	1

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Bodrum FK win, at 46.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 56%.

A 46% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.