Czech-Republic · 3. liga - CFL A · Group A - 408:15

3 – 1

Sunday, 30 August 2026

Admira PrahaLDWWL

· Analysis updated 21:35 UTC

Bohemians 1905 II vs Admira Praha Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.54 expected goals for Bohemians 1905 II and 2.12 for Admira Praha, a combined total of 4.67. That distribution gives Bohemians 1905 II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 48%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 84% for over 2.5 goals and 81% for both teams to score, with 2–2 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 48% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Bohemians 1905 II win

48.1% probability

Low confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

2.54 – 2.12

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Bohemians 1905 II home form

    7 points from their last 3 home matches in our dataset.

  • Admira Praha away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Bohemians 1905 II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 48%, against 48% / 19% / 33% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.54 goals for Bohemians 1905 II and 2.12 for Admira Praha, a combined 4.67 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Bohemians 1905 II win48%
Draw19%
Admira Praha win33%

Double chance 1X

67%

Double chance 12

81%

Double chance X2

52%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals95%
Over 2.5 goals84%
Over 3.5 goals68%
Both teams to score81%

Correct score

  • 2–26.9%
  • 2–16.5%
  • 3–25.8%
  • 3–15.5%
  • 1–25.4%

Recent form

Bohemians 1905 II

  • 2026-09-27T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Dukla Praha II · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-09-20T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Viktoria Plzeň II · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-13T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Sparta Praha II · 1-4 (L)
  • 2026-09-05T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Příbram II · 2-7 (L)
  • 2026-08-30T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Admira Praha · 3-1 (W)

Admira Praha

  • 2026-10-10T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Benešov · 4-1 (W)
  • 2026-10-04T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Jiskra Domažlice · 4-4 (D)
  • 2026-09-26T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Aritma Praha · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-20T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Písek · 4-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-13T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Dukla Praha II · 1-1 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

3. liga - CFL A table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1České Budějovice128222126
2Králův Dvůr118211326
3Viktoria Plzeň II117221123
4Motorlet Praha12723923
5Jiskra Domažlice12633221
6Loko Vltavín12534-218
7Sparta Praha II94411116
8Slavia III12426114
9Admira Praha12426-414
10Příbram II11344-113
11Bohemians 1905 II12345-513
12Dukla Praha II12255-311
13Písek11254-711
14Benešov11245-810
15Aritma Praha12165-179
16Povltava FA120210-212

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Bohemians 1905 II win, at 48.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–2.

It puts both teams scoring at 81% and over 2.5 goals at 84%.

A 48% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.