· Analysis updated 15:49 UTC
Boleráz vs Námestovo Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.20 expected goals for Boleráz and 1.68 for Námestovo, a combined total of 2.88. That distribution gives Námestovo the largest share of the 1X2 market at 49%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 55% for over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 49% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Námestovo win
48.5% probability
Expected goals
1.20 – 1.68
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Boleráz home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Námestovo away threat
Scored in 6 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Námestovo to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 49%, against 27% / 24% / 49% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.20 goals for Boleráz and 1.68 for Námestovo, a combined 2.88 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
52%
Double chance 12
76%
Double chance X2
73%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–111.3%
- 1–29.5%
- 0–19.4%
- 0–27.9%
- 2–16.8%
Recent form
Boleráz
- 2026-09-02T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Šoporňa · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-08-19T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Trebatice · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-07-08T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Malženice · 0-4 (L)
- 2025-08-27T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Nové Zámky · 2-2 (D)
- 2025-07-27T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Horná Krupá · 0-0 (D)
Námestovo
- 2026-09-26T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Oravské Veselé · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-09-19T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Čadca · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-13T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Fiľakovo · 5-2 (W)
- 2026-09-08T14:30:00.000Z · H vs MFK Bytča · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Rimavská Sobota · 2-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Námestovo win, at 48.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 55%.
A 49% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.