Sweden · Division 2 - Västra Götaland · Västra Götaland - 2217:00
BöljanLWLDD

1 – 1

Friday, 18 September 2026

· Analysis updated 22:35 UTC

Böljan vs Landvetter IS Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.03 expected goals for Böljan and 1.70 for Landvetter IS, a combined total of 2.72. That distribution gives Landvetter IS the largest share of the 1X2 market at 53%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 51% for over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 53% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Landvetter IS win

53.2% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.03 – 1.70

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Böljan home form

    4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Landvetter IS away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Landvetter IS to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 53%, against 23% / 24% / 53% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.03 goals for Böljan and 1.70 for Landvetter IS, a combined 2.72 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Böljan win23%
Draw24%
Landvetter IS win53%

Double chance 1X

47%

Double chance 12

76%

Double chance X2

77%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals76%
Over 2.5 goals51%
Over 3.5 goals29%
Both teams to score52%

Correct score

  • 1–111.4%
  • 0–111.1%
  • 1–29.7%
  • 0–29.5%
  • 1–06.7%

Recent form

Böljan

  • 2026-10-18T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Kongahälla · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-10-09T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Lindome · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-10-03T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Jonsered · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-09-25T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Dalstorps · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-18T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Landvetter IS · 1-1 (D)

Landvetter IS

  • 2026-10-18T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Hestrafor · 3-2 (W)
  • 2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Astrio · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-02T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Qviding FIF · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-25T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Torslanda · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-18T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Böljan · 1-1 (D)

Head-to-head

  • 2026-09-18T17:00:00.000Z · Böljan 1-1 Landvetter IS (Division 2 - Västra Götaland)
  • 2026-05-14T12:00:00.000Z · Böljan 1-0 Landvetter IS (Division 2 - Västra Götaland)
  • 2025-08-15T17:00:00.000Z · Böljan 0-1 Landvetter IS (Division 2 - Västra Götaland)
  • 2025-06-12T17:00:00.000Z · Böljan 3-2 Landvetter IS (Division 2 - Västra Götaland)

Division 2 - Västra Götaland table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Landvetter IS2619342560
2Dalstorps2615742652
3Jonsered261268142
4Hestrafor261259641
5Västra Frölunda261178640
6Qviding FIF2612410340
7Böljan261079437
8Lindome2611411237
9Torslanda269710-134
10Onsala269611-433
11Kongahälla268612-930
12Åstorp268513-929
13Galtabacks266515-1023
14Astrio262420-4010

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Landvetter IS win, at 53.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 52% and over 2.5 goals at 51%.

A 53% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.